FNUS74 KEPZ 090012
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR MILLER...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
612 PM MDT SUN MAY 8 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1735 MDT ON MAY 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM MDT THIS EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 10 PM MDT MONDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LOW WILL BE MOVING OUT OF THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND INTO
THE GREAT BASIN OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. AS IT DOES...WINDS
ALOFT WILL BE INCREASING AND A SURFACE LOW DEEPENING OVER THE
PLAINS OF COLORADO. THIS WILL SETUP A TIGHT GRADIENT ACROSS THE
AREA WITH WINDS OF 20 TO 30+ MPH LIKELY THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THESE
WINDS WILL COMBINE WITH SINGLE DIGIT RELATIVE HUMIDITIES TO
CREATE EXTREME FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. TEMPERATURES WILL BE COOLING
DOWN A FEW DEGREES EACH DAY FROM MONDAY TO WEDNESDAY WHICH WILL HELP
SLIGHTLY WITH MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES. NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED
IN THE NEAR FUTURE.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-43.
MAX HUMIDITY........28-33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS TO 30 MPH EARLY EVENING
                    DIMINISHING SHORTLY AFTER SUNSET.
MIXING HEIGHT.......11300-11600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-400 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 32 KNOTS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 18
                    KNOTS.
HAINES INDEX...6 LOWERING TO 3 BY EARLY MORNING.


.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75.
MIN HUMIDITY........8-13 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........BREEZY..SOUTH 8 TO 13 MPH INCREASING
                    TO SOUTHWEST 21 TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 30 KNOTS.
HAINES INDEX...4.


.MONDAY NIGHT..,

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45.
MAX HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH DIMINISHING TO LIGHT DRAINAGE
                    WIND LATE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-400 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 30 KNOTS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 20 KNOTS.
HAINES INDEX...2


.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73.
MIN HUMIDITY........8-13 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 21 TO 26 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......11000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 30 KNOTS.
HAINES INDEX...5

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-48.
MAX HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 15 TO 20 MPH DIMINISHING TO LIGHT DRAINAGE
                    WIND LATE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-400 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 30 KNOTS BECOMING WEST 120 KNOTS.
HAINES INDEX...2


.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73.
MIN HUMIDITY........8-13 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 8 TO 13 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 20 KNOTS.
HAINES INDEX...5


$$
FORECASTER...HEFNER
REQUESTED BY...DAN MINDAR
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110508.MILLE.01/EPZ