FNUS75 KGJT 081433
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR OHIO CITY   PITKIN...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
833 AM MDT SUN MAY 8 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT ON MAY 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM MDT THIS
EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 7500 FEET...

.DISCUSSION...
STRONG UPPER LEVEL TROF WILL DEEPEN ALONG THE WEST COAST TODAY...
ALLOWING THE WARM AND DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW TO CONTINUE ACROSS WESTERN
COLORADO. ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL HELP DROP RELATIVE HUMIDITIES
INTO THE TEENS AGAIN TODAY AND PUSH MIXING LEVELS OVER 10000 FT AGL. THIS
SHOULD ALLOW FOR SOME GUSTY WINDS TO MIX DOWN WITH SOUTHWEST SLOPES
FAVORED FOR THE STRONGER WINDS. MOISTURE AND UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT AHEAD
OF THE MAIN TROF SHOULD SPREAD SCATTERED SHOWERS ACROSS THE REGION ON
MONDAY...WITH TEMPERATURES COOLING 10 TO 15 DEGREES. STRONGER CONVECTION
MAY BE POSSIBLE ON MONDAY WHICH MAY HELP BRING DOWN SOME OF THE STRONGER
SOUTHWEST WINDS ALOFT AND GUSTY WIND CONDITIONS LOOK POSSIBLE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........9-14%.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR THROUGH 1000 AM CDT...INCREASING TO VERY GOOD
                    BY NOON...EXCELLENT THIS AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING 7000 FT AGL BY NOON...WITH
                    A MAX OF NEAR 11500 FT AGL BY MID AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 25 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD THROUGH 800 PM MDT...THEN DECREASING TO
                    POOR BY 1000 PM MDT.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY
                    WITH A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....50-55 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........21-26%.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR THROUGH 1000 AM MDT...THEN INCREASING TO
                    VERY GOOD BY NOON...EXCELLENT IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING NEAR 6000 FT AGL BY NOON
                    THEN 13500 FT AGL BY MID AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTH 38 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...DENNIS PHILLIPS
REQUESTED BY...MIFMU
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110508.OHIOC.01/GJT