FNUS72 KJAX 081134
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR EDDY TOWER...USDA- FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
734 AM EDT SUN MAY 8 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0718 EDT ON MAY 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM EDT THIS
EVENING FOR MOST OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA...

.DISCUSSION...DRY AIR WILL LINGER OVER THE AREA TODAY. MINIMUM RH
VALUES WILL FALL BELOW CRITICAL VALUES FOR LONG DURATIONS THIS
AFTERNOON OVER NORTHEAST FLORIDA. SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE
LIGHT...BUT ERC VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO BE ELEVATED.

A RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR MOST OF INLAND NORTHEAST
FLORIDA (INCLUDING BAKER COUNTY) FOR THIS AFTERNOON DUE TO
LOW RH AND ERC VALUES THAT ARE ELEVATED. WINDS ARE EXPECTED
TO REMAIN BELOW 15 MPH...ALTHOUGH GUSTS TO 15-20 MPH ARE
LIKELY IN AND NEAR THE WILDFIRE. HIGHER RH VALUES ARE EXPECTED
ON MONDAY WITH MOST AREAS SEEING MINIMUM VALUES
AT 35 PERCENT OR HIGHER.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (20-35 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89.
MIN HUMIDITY........27 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 9 MPH LATE IN
                    THE MORNING.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3200-5100 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE MORNING.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 8 TO 12 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....58.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........28     28     25     25     25
WEATHER COV.....AREAS  AREAS  AREAS  AREAS  AREAS
WEATHER TYPE....SMOKE  SMOKE  SMOKE  SMOKE  SMOKE
TEMP............59     74     84     88     88
RH..............86     47     33     27     30
20 FT WIND......SW 1   W 3    W 7    W 9    W 9
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      12     17     18
MIX HGT (FT)....1200   1200   3200   5100   5100
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 8   NW 8   W 9    SW 9   SW 9
DISPERSION INDX.3      3      34     47     47
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500-4300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-1900 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 8 TO 12 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....4.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........18     15     15     18     18     18
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............85     79     73     69     67     64
RH..............37     50     65     77     89     98
20 FT WIND......W 8    SW 7   SW 6   SW 5   SW 3   W 2
20 FT WIND GUST.15     10     10     10     5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....4300   3500   3500   1900   300    300
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 12  W 12   W 12   W 10   W 9    W 9
LVORI...........6      6      6      6      6      6
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92.
MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900-1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5100-6300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 8 TO 12 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....82.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...SHASHY
REQUESTED BY...PETER MYERS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110508.EDDYT.01/JAX