FNUS74 KMAF 081953
FWSMAF

SPOT FORECAST FOR CROOKED CREEK COMPLEX...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
253 PM CDT SUN MAY 8 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1336 MDT ON MAY 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS AND LIGHTNING DANGER.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM CDT TUESDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...

WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE AND BECOME GUSTY DURING
THE AFTERNOON HOURS TODAY. WIND SPEEDS WILL DECREASE SOMEWHAT
OVERNIGHT THEN INCREASE AGAIN BY MID-MORNING MONDAY.

THESE STRONG WINDS WILL COMBINE WITH VERY LOW AFTERNOON RH
TO GENERATE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TODAY AND AGAIN
ON MONDAY. POOR RH RECOVERY AND MODERATE TO HIGH HAINES
INDEX WILL HELP MAINTAIN EFFICIENT BURNING CONDITIONS
OVERNIGHT INTO MONDAY.

OUTLOOK FOR TUESDAY INCLUDED. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS MAY CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY AS WARM TEMPERATURES...
LOW AFTEROON RH AND BREEZY CONDITIONS CONTINUE. COOLER
TEMPERATURES AND LIGHTER WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED FOR
THURSDAY.

.THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MIN HUMIDITY........3 PCT.
MAX HUMIDITY........20 PCT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH DECREASING
                    TO 12 TO 17 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 (MODERATE).
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (255000 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR
                    (0 KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PERCENT.

TIME (MDT)      6 PM      9 PM      MIDNGT    3 AM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR    MCLEAR    PCLDY     PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
CHC PCPN (%)....0         0         0         0
TEMP............87        75        67        61
RH..............3         5         7         13
20 FT WIND DIR..SW        SW        W         SW
20 FT WIND SPD..30        25        20        17
20 FT WIND GUST.40        35        25
MIX HGT (FT)....8500      BLW100    BLW100    BLW100
TRANS WIND DIR..W         SW        W         SW
TRANS WIND SPD..30        26        18        13
VENT CAT........EXCLNT    POOR      POOR      POOR
HAINES INDEX....5         5         5         5

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85.
MIN HUMIDITY........6 PCT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDY. SOUTHWEST WINDS INCREASING TO
                    30 TO 40 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 (MODERATE).
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (0 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    (456000 KNOT-FT).
CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PERCENT.

TIME (MDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR    MCLEAR    MCLEAR    MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
CHC PCPN (%)....0         0         0         0
TEMP............57        69        79        82
RH..............19        11        6         6
20 FT WIND DIR..SW        SW        SW        SW
20 FT WIND SPD..17        25        35        35
20 FT WIND GUST.          35        50        50
MIX HGT (FT)....BLW100    4500      9000      12000
TRANS WIND DIR..SW        W         SW        SW
TRANS WIND SPD..13        35        38        38
VENT CAT........POOR      EXCLNT    EXCLNT    EXCLNT
HAINES INDEX....5         5         5         5

.OUTLOOK...
MONDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....59.
MAX HUMIDITY........20-25 PCT.
WIND 20FT...........SOUTHWEST WINDS DECREASING TO 10 TO
                    15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.

TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 90.
MIN HUMIDITY........10 PCT.
WIND 20FT...........SOUTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PCT.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.

$$

FORECASTER...FAGEN
REQUESTED BY...NM-ADC  DIV B
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110508.CROOK.02/MAF