FNUS72 KMHX 081958 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR PAINS BAY FIRE...NCDFR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 358 PM EDT SUN MAY 8 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1542 EDT ON MAY 08. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES THIS AFTERNOON WILL BECOME PARTLY CLOUDY BY EARLY EVENING AS A SHORT WAVE TROUGH MOVES AWAY FROM THE BURN AREA. SOME FOG WILL DEVELOP AFTER MIDNIGHT DUE TO EARLIER RAINS... CLEARING SKIES...AND LIGHT WINDS. ANY FOG THAT DEVELOPS WILL BURN OFF SHORTLY AFTER SUNRISE TOMORROW AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER MIXES OUT. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED IN THE UPPER 30S TO NEAR 40 PERCENTILE MONDAY AFTERNOON UNDER PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES. LVORI VALUES WILL INCREASE FROM AROUND 2 THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING...TO AROUND 7 LATE THIS EVENING THROUGH OVERNIGHT. THE VALUES WILL DROP TO AROUND 1 BY MID MORNING MONDAY. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52. MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-2700 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 3 TO 7 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM SKY (%).............58 50 36 28 WEATHER COV......... AREAS WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE FOG TEMP................67 59 56 54 RH..................63 78 83 90 20 FT WIND (MPH)....NE 5 NE 5 NE 4G5 N 4G5 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. AREAS OF FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75. MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 8200-9500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 7 TO 12 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY (%).............21 19 25 29 WEATHER COV.........AREAS WEATHER TYPE........FOG NONE NONE NONE TEMP................52 66 72 75 RH..................100 58 46 40 20 FT WIND (MPH)....N 5 N 5 N 6G10 NE 7G15 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 5 $$ FORECASTER...LONKA REQUESTED BY...SCOTT LUDLUM TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110508.PAINS.02/MHX