FNUS75 KTWC 090332
FWSTWC

SPOT FORECAST FOR HORSESHOE 2...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
832 PM MST SUN MAY 8 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2017 MST ON MAY 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MST MONDAY...

.DISCUSSION...WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH TONIGHT OVER THE
FIRE SITE...THOUGH OCCASIONAL GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT. MOISTURE RECOVERIES ARE EXPECTED TO BE POOR...BARELY
MANAGING OVER 20 PCT. DRY WITH SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES AND
WINDY CONDITIONS EXPECTED TOMORROW. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO SURPASS
CRITICAL FIRE THRESHOLDS BY 1100 MST TOMORROW MORNING...REACHING
THEIR PEAK SPEEDS BETWEEN 1400 AND 1700 MST. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN OVER OR NEAR THE FIRE SITE
THROUGH TOMORROW EVENING...WITH RH VALUES BEING THE FIRST TO
RECOVER. WIND SPEEDS WILL NOT LIKELY DROP BELOW CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER THRESHOLDS UNTIL BETWEEN 2000 AND 2300 MST TOMORROW NIGHT.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50 TO 55 DEGS.
MAX HUMIDITY........14 TO 19 PCT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 7 TO 17 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH IN THE
                    EVENING.
LAL.................1.
CHANCE OF RAIN......0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. AREAS OF BLOWING DUST IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80 TO 85 DEGS.
MIN HUMIDITY........3 TO 8 PCT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDY. SOUTHWEST 10 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 30 MPH INCREASING TO 19 TO 29 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS TO AROUND 50 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
CHANCE OF RAIN......0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.

$$
FORECASTER...FIRE WEATHER FORECASTER
REQUESTED BY...BUDDY ZALE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110508.HORSE.01/TWC