FNUS73 KAPX 091320 FWSAPX SPOT FORECAST FOR COMP 120...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 920 AM EDT MON MAY 9 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1400 EDT ON MAY 09. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER HUDSON BAY WILL CONTINUE TO CONTROL THE WEATHER OVER THE GREAT LAKES REGION...WITH QUIET AND DRY WEATHER FOR THE DAY TODAY. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL FALL INTO THE 20-25 PERCENT RANGE TODAY UNDER PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES. SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 12-17 MPH ARE EXPECTED...WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 25 AND 30 MPH POSSIBLE DURING THE AFTERNOON. A REGION OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY BRUSH THE REGION TONIGHT WITH MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES AND VERY GOOD HUMIDITY RECOVERY. SKIES WILL PARTIALLY CLEAR DURING THE DAY ON TUESDAY WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME MORNING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AS A WARM FRONT RESIDES JUST SOUTH OF THE REGION. A MOISTER AIRMASS WILL BE IN PLACE FOR THE DAY TUESDAY WITH MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES NEAR 45 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 10 TO 15 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-60 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........67 AT IGNITION...MAX 68. RH..................24 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 23 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 13 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHEAST WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 24 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 4000-4800 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (1200) AT IGNITION. MAX...EXCELLENT (1200). TIME (EDT) 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........58 58 58 50 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............67 68 68 67 RH..............24 23 23 25 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..12 12 12 12 20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 25 25 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 SMOKE DISP......1200120012001100 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 67. RH..................MIN 46 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 13 TO 14 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP TO 12 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 24 TO 29 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......700-1600 FT AGL. HAINES INDEX........MAX 3. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MAX GOOD(500). TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........84 89 89 89 57 57 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE TEMP............44 49 55 60 65 66 RH..............86 74 64 55 46 47 20 FT WIND......SE 12 SE 13 SE 13 SE 13 SE 13 SE 13 20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 25 25 25 25 HAINES INDEX....3 2 2 2 2 2 SMOKE DISP......200 200 300 400 400 400 $$ FORECASTER...JUSTIN ARNOTT REQUESTED BY...JOE RASPOTNIK TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110509.COMP1.01/APX