FNUS73 KAPX 091307 FWSAPX SPOT FORECAST FOR HEMLOCK...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 907 AM EDT MON MAY 9 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON MAY 09. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER HUDSON BAY WILL CONTINUE TO CONTROL THE WEATHER OVER THE GREAT LAKES REGION...WITH QUIET AND DRY WEATHER FOR THE DAY TODAY. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL FALL INTO THE 20-25 PERCENT RANGE TODAY UNDER PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES. SOUTHEAST WINDS ARE ALREADY STRENGTHENING TO 10-15 MPH THIS MORNING AND WILL BECOME GUSTY BY LATE MORNING AND THROUGH THE AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS AS HIGH 30 MPH POSSIBLE. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-60 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........59 AT IGNITION...MAX 69. RH..................35 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 23 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 13 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHEAST WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 12 TO 20 MPH INCREASING TO 22 TO 24 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 300-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4100-4800 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (700) AT IGNITION. MAX...EXCELLENT (1200). TIME (EDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........61 61 61 59 59 59 51 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............59 62 65 67 68 68 67 RH..............35 30 26 24 23 23 25 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..12 12 13 13 13 13 12 20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 25 25 25 25 25 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 SMOKE DISP......700 100011001200120012001100 $$ FORECASTER...JUSTIN ARNOTT REQUESTED BY...JOE RASPOTNIK TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110509.HEMLO.01/APX