FNUS75 KBOU 092321 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR SNYDER CREEK...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 520 PM MDT MON MAY 9 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...FAIRLY STRONG SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING...BEFORE DECREASING AS AN UPPER TROUGH MOVES SLOWLY EASTWARD INTO COLORADO ON WEDNESDAY. THIS AFTERNOON'S STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY DECREASE THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT. TUESDAY'S WINDS DO NOT LOOK AS STRONG AS TODAY'S. THE FIRE AREA HAS A GOOD CHANCE OF DECENT PRECIPITATION LATE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY EVENING. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-64. MIN HUMIDITY.........6-12%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH-SOUTHWEST WINDS 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 48 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......11400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 2400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS...SNOW SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. MIN TEMPERATURE.....32-38. MAX HUMIDITY........30-40%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 15-25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN SOUTHWEST 10-18 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 40-48 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN 28-36 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......9600-10600 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. 3800-4400 FT AGL AFTER 0200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1900. GOOD AFTER 0300. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....53-58. MIN HUMIDITY........15-20%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 11-21 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 25-36 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......6200-7200 FT AGL UNTIL 1200...THEN 10000-11000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT AFTER 1200. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .WEDNESDAY...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY UNTIL 1800. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200 UNTIL 1800...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 0600... THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1800. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 11 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR SNDER CREEK. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 05/09-17 70 15 3 59 9 SW26 44 2 3 SW70 11345 SW48 472182 E 05/09-18 64 10 2 56 10 SW25 40 2 2 SW73 10752 SW47 439437 E 05/09-19 64 10 2 54 11 SW22 36 2 2 SW73 9405 SW46 378854 E 05/09-20 64 10 2 49 14 SW20 30 2 2 SW71 8058 SW45 318271 E 05/09-21 64 10 2 44 18 SW16 25 2 2 SW71 6711 SW44 257687 E 05/09-22 64 10 2 41 22 SW14 23 2 2 SW69 6295 SW41 229285 E 05/09-23 64 10 2 38 26 SW13 21 2 2 SW68 5879 SW39 200882 E 05/10-00 47 4 1 36 31 SW13 21 2 1 SW69 5462 SW37 172480 E 05/10-01 47 4 1 34 35 SW13 21 2 1 SW74 4895 SW35 147918 V 05/10-02 47 4 1 32 40 W14 22 2 1 SW81 4327 SW32 123357 V 05/10-03 47 4 1 30 45 W14 22 2 1 SW85 3759 W30 98796 G 05/10-04 47 4 1 30 49 W13 20 2 1 SW87 3742 W30 96148 G 05/10-05 47 4 1 29 53 W12 17 3 1 SW87 3726 W29 93501 G 05/10-06 56 0 0 29 54 W10 16 3 1 SW87 3710 W28 90854 G 05/10-07 56 0 0 32 49 W13 20 3 1 SW87 4567 W29 114993 V 05/10-08 56 0 0 35 41 W15 24 3 1 SW89 5424 W29 139132 V 05/10-09 56 0 0 39 33 W17 28 3 1 SW89 6281 W30 163270 E 05/10-10 56 0 0 44 27 W18 30 3 1 SW87 7088 W32 198263 E 05/10-11 56 0 0 47 24 W18 30 2 1 SW85 7895 SW33 233256 E 05/10-12 70 20 4 50 21 W18 30 2 1 SW82 8702 SW36 268250 E 05/10-13 70 20 4 52 20 W17 29 2 1 SW76 9350 SW32 255899 E 05/10-14 70 20 4 53 19 SW16 26 2 1 SW69 9998 SW29 243549 E 05/10-15 70 20 4 53 19 SW15 24 2 1 SW62 10646 SW25 231199 E 05/10-16 70 20 4 54 19 SW14 23 2 1 SW55 10906 SW26 249997 E 05/10-17 70 20 4 53 20 S13 21 2 1 SW49 11165 SW28 268796 E 05/10-18 80 33 12 51 22 S12 18 2 1 SW45 11425 S29 287595 E 05/10-19 80 33 12 49 24 SW 9 15 2 1 S44 9387 S22 204363 E 05/10-20 80 33 12 44 28 NW 7 7 2 1 S44 7348 SE15 121131 V 05/10-21 80 33 12 40 34 N 3 3 2 1 S45 5310 SE 8 37900 P 05/10-22 80 33 12 36 43 NE 3 3 2 1 S46 5266 SE13 56155 F 05/10-23 80 33 12 34 51 E 5 5 2 1 S47 4867 E16 66734 G 05/11-00 93 56 32 32 58 E 6 6 2 1 S47 4468 E20 77314 G 05/11-01 93 56 32 31 64 E 6 6 2 1 S46 3588 E20 61239 G 05/11-02 93 56 32 30 67 E 5 5 2 1 S45 2707 E18 45164 F 05/11-03 93 56 32 29 69 E 5 5 2 1 S43 1827 E18 29089 P 05/11-04 93 56 32 28 70 E 5 5 2 1 S43 1893 E21 33754 P 05/11-05 93 56 32 27 70 E 6 6 3 1 S43 1960 E22 38420 P 05/11-06 97 58 35 27 70 E 7 7 3 1 S41 2027 E24 43086 F 05/11-07 97 58 35 27 71 E 9 15 3 1 S36 2562 E25 58037 F 05/11-08 97 58 35 28 71 NE12 18 2 1 SE28 3098 E26 72989 G 05/11-09 97 58 35 29 70 NE13 21 2 1 SE21 3634 E28 87940 G 05/11-10 97 58 35 31 66 NE12 17 2 1 SE18 4330 E23 80258 G 05/11-11 97 58 35 32 61 N 8 14 2 1 SE17 5026 NE18 72576 G 05/11-12 95 59 36 34 57 N 6 6 2 3 SE16 5722 NE13 64894 G 05/11-13 95 59 36 35 56 N 5 5 2 3 E14 5927 NE13 64778 G 05/11-14 95 59 36 36 56 N 5 5 2 3 NE12 6132 N13 64662 G 05/11-15 95 59 36 36 57 N 5 5 2 3 N10 6337 NW12 64547 G 05/11-16 95 59 36 36 60 N 6 6 2 3 N13 6246 NW16 83813 G 05/11-17 95 59 36 35 64 N 6 6 2 3 N16 6156 NW20 103079 V 05/11-18 75 38 16 35 67 NW 7 7 2 1 NW20 6066 NW23 122346 V 05/11-19 75 38 16 35 66 NW 7 7 2 1 NW21 5839 NW25 127554 V 05/11-20 75 38 16 33 70 NW 7 7 2 1 NW21 5613 NW28 132763 V 05/11-21 75 38 16 32 72 NW 7 7 2 1 NW21 5387 NW30 137972 V 05/11-22 75 38 16 30 74 NW 7 7 2 1 NW20 4977 NW29 125706 V 05/11-23 75 38 16 29 75 NW 7 7 2 1 NW18 4567 NW29 113440 V 05/12-00 68 28 8 29 76 NW 7 7 2 1 NW17 4158 NW28 101174 V 05/12-01 68 28 8 28 76 NW 8 13 2 1 NW17 3841 NW29 95624 G 05/12-02 68 28 8 28 75 NW 9 15 2 1 NW17 3524 NW30 90075 G 05/12-03 68 28 8 27 74 NW10 16 2 1 NW17 3207 NW30 84525 G 05/12-04 68 28 8 27 74 NW10 17 2 1 NW20 3166 NW31 84175 G 05/12-05 68 28 8 26 74 NW10 16 2 1 NW22 3126 NW31 83825 G 05/12-06 46 10 2 26 74 NW10 16 2 1 NW24 3085 NW31 83475 G 05/12-07 46 10 2 26 72 NW12 17 2 1 NW24 3822 NW30 98883 G 05/12-08 46 10 2 28 69 NW12 20 2 1 NW24 4559 NW29 114291 V 05/12-09 46 10 2 30 64 NW13 21 2 1 NW25 5296 NW28 129700 V 05/12-10 46 10 2 33 58 NW13 20 2 1 NW26 5852 NW26 129469 V 05/12-11 46 10 2 36 53 NW12 20 2 1 NW28 6408 NW24 129239 V 05/12-12 46 10 2 39 48 NW12 18 2 1 NW31 6964 NW22 129008 V 05/12-13 46 10 2 42 44 NW12 18 2 1 NW35 7172 NW22 138320 V 05/12-14 46 10 2 44 42 NW13 20 2 1 NW40 7380 NW23 147631 V 05/12-15 46 10 2 45 41 NW13 21 2 1 NW44 7588 NW24 156943 E 05/12-16 46 10 2 45 42 NW13 20 2 1 NW47 6984 NW23 142250 V 05/12-17 46 10 2 44 44 NW13 20 3 1 NW49 6381 NW23 127556 V 05/12-18 17 0 0 43 47 NW12 18 4 1 NW52 5777 NW23 112862 V KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...PUEBLO DISPATCH REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110509.SNYDE.01/BOU