FNUS71 KCTP 081224 FWSCTP SPOT FORECAST FOR ACKERS BURN...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 824 AM EDT SUN MAY 8 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON MAY 09. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE. .DISCUSSION... PATCHY FOG IN LOW LYING AREAS THIS MORNING COULD KEEP DEW ON THE FUELS FOR ANOTHER HOUR OR SO...BUT DRY UP VERY QUICKLY WITH THE SUN. LIGHT NORTHERLY WIND WILL BE IN STORE FOR TODAY AND MONDAY. DAILY HEATING WILL ALLOW ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS OVER THE MOUNTAINS THIS AFTERNOON...BUT THESE WILL DIE AS THE SUN SETS. ANY SHOWERS WILL BE VERY BRIEF...BUT COULD MAKE A GUST TO 20 MPH. AS WITH TODAY...THERE WILL BE SOME PATCHY FOG MONDAY MORNING WHICH MAY KEEP THE FUELS MOIST THROUGH 10 AM. THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON WILL BE DRY...WITH MAINLY SUNNY SKIES. WINDS WILL BE 5-10 MPH AND NORTHERLY WITH A FEW GUSTS TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64. MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1600 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5100-6800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 7 TO 16 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............17 20 23 26 27 27 27 27 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TEMP................47 50 53 56 58 60 63 60 RH..................62 54 49 44 40 38 35 38 20 FT WIND DIR......NE N N N N N N N 20 FT WIND SPD......7 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 10 10 10 15 15 10 MIX HGT (KFT).......4.0 5.1 5.6 5.9 6.1 6.6 6.8 6.6 TRANSP WIND DIR.N N NE NE NE NE NE N TRANSP WIND SPD.....15 16 16 15 14 12 9 8 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 .MONDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 35. MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......3900-5500 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 100-300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 8 TO 15 MPH...DECREASING TO 3 TO 5 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............26 26 27 30 31 32 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................58 53 48 45 43 41 RH..................42 51 61 70 74 82 20 FT WIND..........NE 8 NE 7 NE 6 NE 6 E 5 E 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)........5500 2400 800 100 200 100 TRANSPORT WIND......NE 10 NE 15 NE 8 NE 3 NE 5 NE 5 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 5 3 3 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67. MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......MISSING. TRANSPORT WINDS..... HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............33 33 33 33 33 33 32 32 32 32 34 35 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TEMP................37 39 42 45 49 52 55 58 61 63 66 63 RH..................96 91 82 72 64 56 51 46 42 40 37 41 20 FT WIND DIR......E E E E E E E E E E E E 20 FT WIND SPD......5 5 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 20 FT WIND GUST..... 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT).......M M M M M M M M M M M M TRANSP WIND DIR.M M M M M M M M M M M M TRANSP WIND SPD.....M M M M M M M M M M M M LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........2 2 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...WFO CTP/DANGELO REQUESTED BY...JEFF YEAGER TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110509.ACKER.01/CTP