FNUS71 KCTP 081220 FWSCTP SPOT FORECAST FOR SGL 041 MARIA FIELDS...PA GAME COMMISSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 820 AM EDT SUN MAY 8 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON MAY 09. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE. .DISCUSSION... PATCHY FOG IN LOW LYING AREAS THIS MORNING COULD KEEP DEW ON THE FUELS FOR ANOTHER HOUR OR SO...BUT DRY UP VERY QUICKLY WITH THE SUN. LIGHT NORTHERLY WIND WILL BE IN STORE FOR TODAY AND MONDAY. DAILY HEATING WILL ALLOW ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS OVER THE MOUNTAINS THIS AFTERNOON...BUT THESE WILL DIE AS THE SUN SETS. ANY SHOWERS WILL BE VERY BRIEF...BUT COULD MAKE A GUST TO 20 MPH. AS WITH TODAY...THERE WILL BE SOME PATCHY FOG MONDAY MORNING WHICH MAY KEEP THE FUELS MOIST THROUGH 10 AM. THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON WILL BE DRY...WITH MAINLY SUNNY SKIES. WINDS WILL BE 5-10 MPH AND NORTHERLY WITH A FEW GUSTS TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67. MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 6300-7700 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 9 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............97 65 84 87 80 77 WEATHER COV......... ISOLTD ISOLTD WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP................47 50 55 62 65 66 RH..................85 79 67 53 47 45 20 FT WIND..........W 1 NW 1 N 3 N 5 N 6 N 9 20 FT WIND GUST..... 5 5 10 MIX HGT (FT)........200 1100 4600 7100 7600 7500 TRANSPORT WIND......NW 6 N 8 N 8 N 6 NW 5 NW 7 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 5 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42. MAX HUMIDITY........74 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......5100-6200 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 400-1600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 9 TO 14 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............68 43 36 37 45 36 WEATHER COV.........ISOLTD ISOLTD WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................64 59 53 50 49 47 RH..................49 58 70 73 72 74 20 FT WIND..........N 9 N 7 N 5 N 3 NE 3 N 3 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 10 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)........6200 4000 1600 500 500 400 TRANSPORT WIND......NW 9 N 9 N 13 N 14 NE 12 N 9 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 3 3 3 .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69. MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2200 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 7400-7500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 9 TO 14 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............26 21 18 19 19 20 20 21 21 22 24 26 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TEMP................44 45 48 50 53 56 59 61 63 65 67 65 RH..................92 88 74 67 60 54 50 46 42 40 37 41 20 FT WIND DIR......N N N N N N N N N N N N 20 FT WIND SPD......1 1 5 5 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 6 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT).......0.5 0.6 1.1 2.2 3.4 4.6 5.4 5.9 6.4 7.1 7.5 7.4 TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N NE N N N TRANSP WIND SPD.....9 9 10 12 13 14 13 12 10 9 9 9 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........2 2 4 4 4 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...WFO CTP/DANGELO REQUESTED BY...BRENT MCNEAL TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110509.SGL04.01/CTP