FNUS72 KJAX 092158
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR EDDY TOWER  WILDFIRE...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
558 PM EDT MON MAY 9 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1800 EDT ON MAY 09.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A WEAK BACK DOOR FRONT WILL DRIFT OVER THE AREA FROM
THE NORTHEAST THIS EVENING...AND BECOMING DIFFUSE TONIGHT. TONIGHT
STABILITY WILL INCREASE TOWARD DAWN AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE
AREA. TUESDAY INCREASED MOISTURE MAY TRIGGER A FEW AFTERNOON SHOWERS
AND STORMS AS THE SEA BREEZES MOVES INLAND AND INTERACT WITH THE
LINGERING BUT DIFFUSE FRONTAL BOUNDARY.  A FEW STRONG STORMS...CAPABLE
OF PRODUCING HAIL...ARE POSSIBLE TUESDAY.

WINDS...THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK INLAND
AND BASED ON ITS CURRENT TRACK AND MOTION...WILL NEAR THE
SPOT REQUEST SITE BETWEEN 8 AND 9 PM. THIS WILL BRING A WIND
SHIFT TO THE ENE AND INCREASED WINDS TO 10-15 MPH. SURFACE
WINDS WILL THEN VEER ESE TONIGHT WITH SPEEDS 5 MPH OR LESS.

RH...RHS WILL NEAR 35% TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR BRIEF DURATIONS.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
                    PATCHY SMOKE EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN AREAS
                    OF SMOKE EARLY IN THE EVENING. PATCHY FOG AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-1500 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 6 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....3.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........41     32     32     37     19     19
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  AREAS  AREAS  AREAS  AREAS  AREAS
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR SMOKE  SMOKE  SMOKE  SMOKE  SMOKE
TEMP............88     81     75     72     69     67
RH..............44     57     71     79     86     93
20 FT WIND......NE 6   E 7    E 6    SE 5   SE 3   SE 3
20 FT WIND GUST.15     10     10            5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....4200   1500   1500   900    300    300
TRANSPORT WIND..N 10   NE 10  NE 10  E 8    E 6    E 6

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE
                    AND PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 95.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900-1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6100-7600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 6 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AROUND 8
                    MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....46.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........19     26     26     30     43     43
WEATHER COV.....AREAS                       CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....SMOKE  NONE   NONE   NONE   TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............65     68     82     90     94     94
RH..............100    92     58     43     36     36
20 FT WIND......SE 3   SE 3   S 6    S 6    S 5    S 6
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5             10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....900    1400   1400   4500   7600   7600
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 6   S 7    S 7    E 6    E 6    E 6
LAL.............1      1      1      1      3      3

$$
FORECASTER...ENYEDI
REQUESTED BY...TAMMY MILTON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110509.EDDYT.01/JAX