FNUS74 KLUB 091546 FWSLUB FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR DICKENS WILDFIRE...TFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX 1046 AM CDT MON MAY 9 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1029 CDT ON MAY 09. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING... .DISCUSSION... ...THE SHALLOW MOISTURE RETURN OVERNIGHT WILL QUICKLY GIVE WAY TO A VERY DRY AIRMASS BY ABOUT NOON WITH THE DRYLINE MOVING EAST INTO KING OR KNOX COUNTY. THE SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE THROUGH THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS AND REMAIN OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST...BUT WILL BEGIN TO SHIFT BACK TO THE SOUTH AROUND 21Z/22Z...4 TO 5 PM. THE DRYLINE MAY RETREAT BACK INTO DICKENS COUNTY AS EARLY AS 23Z/6 PM BUT WE HAVE LOW CONFIDENCE IN THE TIMING OF THE MOISTURE RETURN. THE DRYLINE IS EXPECTED TO BE IN THE ROLLING PLAINS TONIGHT BEFORE MOVING EAST EARLY WED MORNING... .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 103. MIN HUMIDITY........3 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH INCREASING TO 21 TO 26 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 40 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......15300-16600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 32 TO 38 MPH. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH. TIME (CDT) 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........30 27 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE TEMP............99 101 RH..............3 4 20 FT WIND......SW 17 SW 18 20 FT WIND GUST.35 40 EYE LEVEL WIND..SW 17 SW 18 EYE LEVEL WIND..35 40 HAINES INDEX....6 6 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59. MAX HUMIDITY........23 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 23 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 9 TO 13 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. CWR.................0 PERCENT. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......16400-17400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 24 TO 33 MPH DECREASING TO 6 TO 7 MPH. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 23 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 9 TO 13 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........25 24 23 22 23 26 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............100 94 82 76 71 67 RH..............4 6 10 13 17 20 20 FT WIND......SW 17 SW 14 SW 9 SW 9 SW 9 W 7 20 FT WIND GUST.35 25 20 20 20 15 EYE LEVEL WIND..SW 17 SW 14 SW 9 SW 9 SW 9 W 7 EYE LEVEL WIND..35 25 20 20 20 15 HAINES INDEX....6 6 6 6 6 6 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91. MIN HUMIDITY........10 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 20 TO 23 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 16100-17900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8 TO 17 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 21 TO 28 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 20 TO 23 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........29 32 40 49 50 47 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............64 64 72 80 86 90 RH..............22 23 21 19 15 11 20 FT WIND......SW 6 SW 7 SW 10 SW 13 S 15 S 17 20 FT WIND GUST.10 15 20 25 35 35 EYE LEVEL WIND..SW 6 SW 7 SW 10 SW 13 S 15 S 17 EYE LEVEL WIND..10 15 20 25 35 35 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...CONDER REQUESTED BY...JUSTIN MUSGRAVES TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110509.DICKE.01/LUB