FNUS75 KRIW 091650
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR MORMON CREEK HAND PILES...USFS SHF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
1050 AM MDT MON MAY 9 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1040 MDT ON MAY 09.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A STORM SYSTEM WILL IMPACT THE AREA THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.
NUMEROUS SHOWERS CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY AND TOMORROW...WITH SIGNIFICANT
MOISTURE LIKELY OVER THE FIRE. MOSTLY RAIN IS EXPECTED ALTHOUGH PRECIPITATION
WILL BE SNOW AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. IT WILL BE BREEZY TODAY WITH AN EAST
NORTHEASTERLY FLOW THROUGH TUESDAY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE
EACH DAY.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...LIPSON

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS
                    AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....39.
MIN HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......EAST  10 TO 20 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR ANY POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....EAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500-3500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 20 TO 21 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (42000-58600 KNOT-FT).

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE EVENING. NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH
                    THE NIGHT. NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....32-35.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......EAST 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 10 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900-3900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 18
                    TO 20 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (45400-53000 KNOT-FT).

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS
                    IN THE MORNING. NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH
                    THE DAY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....44-47.
MIN HUMIDITY........55-58 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN SHIFTING TO THE
                    WEST LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900-3900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 17 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST
                    AROUND 16 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN
                    SHIFTING TO THE WEST LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (31200-32700 KNOT-FT).

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS IN THE EVENING...THEN
SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.
WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 60.
WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...LIPSON
REQUESTED BY...M WOODS
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110509.MORMO.01/RIW