FNUS75 KBOU 110151 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR SNYDER CREEK...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 800 PM MDT TUE MAY 10 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE SLOWLY ACROSS COLORADO THROUGH WEDNESDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH OVERNIGHT. THERE WILL BE PLENTY OF SHOWER ACTIVITY...POSSIBLY HEAVY AT TIMES LATER TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING. COOLER TEMPERATURES WITH NORTHERLY WINDS BEHIND THE SYSTEM ON THURSDAY AND STILL A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 2400...THEN SNOW LIKELY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....24-28. MAX HUMIDITY........80-90%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 7-13 MPH UNTIL 2300...THEN NORTHEAST 7-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 9-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 FT AGL LOWERING TO 2000 FT AGL AFTER 2300. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 2100...THEN FAIR. POOR AFTER 2200. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW UNTIL 1200...THEN SNOW LIKELY. RAIN LIKELY AFTER 1500. MAX TEMPERATURE.....36-40. MIN HUMIDITY........60-70%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 12-22 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN NORTH AROUND 5 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 21-32 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 9-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4800-5800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0800...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1400...THEN FAIR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 1200. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 0600 UNTIL 1800. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 16 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR SNDER CREEK. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 05/10-19 82 33 12 49 25 S10 14 4 1 S13 9792 SW17 146880 V 05/10-20 82 33 12 44 30 E 7 13 4 1 SE10 7521 E10 67689 G 05/10-21 82 33 12 40 37 E 5 10 3 1 E 8 5706 E 8 39942 P 05/10-22 82 33 12 39 41 NE 3 9 3 1 E 6 4478 E 8 31346 P 05/10-23 82 33 12 37 45 N 3 8 2 1 E 6 3719 E 7 22314 P 05/11-00 88 65 45 36 50 N 5 7 2 1 E 7 3234 E 7 19404 P 05/11-01 88 65 45 34 54 N 6 8 2 1 E12 2753 E 6 13765 P 05/11-02 88 65 45 31 60 NE 8 8 2 1 NE18 2439 NE16 34146 P 05/11-03 88 65 45 29 66 NE 9 10 2 1 NE23 2225 NE16 31150 P 05/11-04 88 65 45 28 68 NE10 12 2 1 NE24 1960 NE16 27440 P 05/11-05 88 65 45 27 71 NE10 13 2 1 NE23 1787 E21 32166 P 05/11-06 100 76 62 26 74 NE12 14 2 1 E24 1754 E21 31572 P 05/11-07 100 76 62 26 75 NE15 15 2 1 NE30 1876 E22 35644 P 05/11-08 100 76 62 26 75 NE17 17 2 1 NE36 2137 NE31 57699 F 05/11-09 100 76 62 27 76 NE20 20 2 1 NE39 2484 NE31 67068 G 05/11-10 100 76 62 28 72 NE18 18 2 1 NE37 2807 NE31 75789 G 05/11-11 100 76 62 30 68 NE17 17 2 1 NE30 3205 E20 54485 F 05/11-12 100 64 44 32 64 NE14 15 2 1 NE23 3704 E20 62968 G 05/11-13 100 64 44 33 64 NE10 14 2 1 NE16 4442 E21 79956 G 05/11-14 100 64 44 35 63 NE 7 12 3 1 NE 9 5202 E 9 41616 F 05/11-15 100 64 44 37 63 NE 5 10 3 1 NE 5 5760 E 9 46080 F 05/11-16 100 64 44 37 68 N 3 8 3 1 N 5 5961 E 9 47688 F 05/11-17 100 64 44 36 73 NW 3 7 3 1 NW 6 5896 W 7 35376 P 05/11-18 93 37 15 36 78 W 3 6 3 1 NW10 5629 W 7 33774 P 05/11-19 93 37 15 34 79 W 5 6 3 1 NW15 5217 W 7 31302 P 05/11-20 93 37 15 33 81 W 6 7 2 1 NW22 4686 NW18 74976 G 05/11-21 93 37 15 31 82 W 7 8 2 1 NW26 4179 NW18 66864 G 05/11-22 93 37 15 30 79 NW 9 10 2 1 NW29 3897 NW18 62352 G 05/11-23 93 37 15 30 76 NW10 12 2 1 NW30 3654 NW24 76734 G 05/12-00 87 18 4 29 73 NW13 14 2 1 NW31 3343 NW24 70203 G 05/12-01 87 18 4 28 76 NW15 15 2 1 NW33 2761 NW23 55220 F 05/12-02 87 18 4 27 79 NW16 17 2 1 NW37 2144 NW26 49312 F 05/12-03 87 18 4 25 82 NW17 18 2 1 NW39 1682 NW24 35322 P 05/12-04 87 18 4 25 81 NW20 20 2 1 NW43 1490 NW24 31290 P 05/12-05 87 18 4 25 79 NW20 21 2 1 NW45 1517 NW30 39442 P 05/12-06 61 10 2 25 78 NW21 22 2 1 NW47 1740 NW30 45240 F 05/12-07 61 10 2 28 67 NW21 22 2 1 NW47 2001 NW32 56028 F 05/12-08 61 10 2 31 57 NW20 22 2 1 NW47 2467 NW31 66609 G 05/12-09 61 10 2 33 50 NW20 21 2 1 NW44 3184 NW31 85968 G 05/12-10 61 10 2 37 42 NW18 20 2 1 NW38 4358 NW29 108950 V 05/12-11 61 10 2 40 35 NW17 18 2 1 NW31 5647 NW21 101646 V 05/12-12 46 10 2 44 30 NW16 18 2 1 NW25 6661 N21 119898 V 05/12-13 46 10 2 44 30 NW15 17 2 1 NW24 7054 N21 126972 V 05/12-14 46 10 2 44 30 NW15 17 2 1 NW24 7080 NW20 120360 V 05/12-15 46 10 2 45 30 NW14 16 2 1 NW25 6902 NW20 117334 V 05/12-16 46 10 2 43 33 NW14 16 2 1 NW24 6762 NW20 114954 V 05/12-17 46 10 2 42 35 NW13 15 2 1 NW24 6488 NW21 116784 V 05/12-18 25 0 0 40 38 NW13 15 2 1 NW24 6096 NW21 109728 V 05/12-19 25 0 0 39 40 NW13 14 2 1 NW25 5637 NW21 101466 V 05/12-20 25 0 0 38 42 NW13 14 2 1 NW26 5078 NW23 101560 V 05/12-21 25 0 0 36 44 NW12 13 2 1 NW29 4445 NW23 88900 G 05/12-22 25 0 0 34 47 NW12 13 2 1 NW32 3732 NW22 70908 G 05/12-23 25 0 0 33 50 NW12 13 2 1 NW35 2995 NW25 65890 G 05/13-00 5 0 0 31 53 NW12 13 2 1 NW37 2335 NW25 51370 F 05/13-01 5 0 0 30 55 NW12 13 2 1 NW37 1808 NW23 36160 P 05/13-02 5 0 0 29 56 NW10 13 2 1 NW36 1394 NW22 26486 P 05/13-03 5 0 0 28 58 NW10 13 2 1 NW35 1085 NW20 18445 P 05/13-04 5 0 0 28 57 W10 14 2 1 NW33 856 NW20 14552 P 05/13-05 5 0 0 27 57 W 9 14 2 1 NW33 713 NW18 11408 P 05/13-06 5 0 0 27 57 W 9 15 2 1 N32 613 NW18 9808 P 05/13-07 5 0 0 31 51 CALM 0 1 05/13-08 5 0 0 35 43 CALM 0 1 05/13-09 5 0 0 39 37 NW 8 13 1 05/13-10 5 0 0 42 30 NW 8 8 1 05/13-11 5 0 0 46 24 NW 7 7 1 05/13-12 55 5 1 49 20 NW 7 7 1 05/13-13 55 5 1 50 19 CALM 0 1 05/13-14 55 5 1 52 19 CALM 0 1 05/13-15 55 5 1 53 19 NW 6 6 1 05/13-16 55 5 1 52 21 NW 6 6 1 05/13-17 55 5 1 51 23 N 6 6 1 05/13-18 55 5 1 50 27 N 6 6 1 KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...GIMMESTAD REQUESTED BY...PUEBLO DISPATCH REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110510.SNYDE.02/BOU