FNUS71 KBUF 091938
FWSBUF

SPOT FORECAST FOR IROQUOIS GRASSLANDS...FWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
338 PM EDT MON MAY 9 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON MAY 10.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

A BROAD AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN ANCHORED ACROSS THE REGION
INTO MID WEEK WITH A STRETCH OF FAIR WEATHER AND PROGRESSIVELY
WARMER TEMPERATURES.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........EAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MIN 100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 2 TO 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSION....MIN 0 (POOR).

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............1   1   1   1   1   1   7   20  27  30  36  39
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TEMP................62  58  53  51  49  47  46  44  44  44  43  41
RH..................42  47  56  59  62  65  69  73  75  73  72  77
20 FT WIND DIR......NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD......8   7   6   5   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   3
20 FT WIND GUST.....10  10          5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
HAINES INDEX........4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
SMK DISPERSION......33  23  14  7   3   1   0   0   1   0   0   1

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING NORTHEAST
                    11 TO 16 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 4400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 15 MPH...INCREASING TO 16 TO 17 MPH
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSION....MAX 66 (GOOD).

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............40  40  40  41  42  42  39  33  30  31  34  37
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TEMP................40  42  45  49  54  59  62  65  67  68  69  69
RH..................85  86  80  70  58  48  41  36  33  33  33  34
20 FT WIND DIR......E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   NE  NE  NE  E
20 FT WIND SPD......3   5   7   8   10  13  14  15  16  16  16  15
20 FT WIND GUST.....5       10  10  15  15  20  20  20  20  20  20
HAINES INDEX........4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
SMK DISPERSION......1   3   9   23  44  62  66  61  53  47  40  34

$$

FORECASTER...TJP
REQUESTED BY...PAUL HESS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110510.IROQU.01/BUF