FNUS73 KDDC 101642 FWSDDC SPOT FORECAST FOR TUNNER FIRE...U.S. FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS 1142 AM CDT TUE MAY 10 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON DATA AS OF 1100 CDT ON MAY 10. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND AT 800-272-7811. .DISCUSSION... LIGHT EAST WINDS AT MIDDAY WILL RETURN BACK TO SOUTHERLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 MPH. ALONG WITH THE WIND SHIFT THIS AFTERNOON...RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL DROP TO AROUND 10 PERCENT BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON. ON WEDNESDAY...A LOW PRESSURE AREA WILL ORGANIZE OVER SOUTHWEST KANSAS DURING THE DAY RESULTING IN SOUTHWEST SURFACE WINDS AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES AROUND 10 PERCENT. BY LATE AFTERNOON THROUGH EVENING...A COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP THROUGH THE AREA WITH GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH AND RISING HUMIDITY. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-15 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88. MIN HUMIDITY........9 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH BECOMING SOUTH 7 TO 16 MPH BY EARLY AFTERNOON INCREASING TO 18 TO 25 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 9900-10700 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 21 MPH INCREASING TO 25 TO 29 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........10 15 20 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE TEMP............80 86 88 RH..............17 10 9 20 FT WIND......S 8 S 16 S 22 20 FT WIND GUST.12 22 28 EYE LEVEL WIND..S 6 S 13 S 18 WIND GUST..10 18 23 HAINES INDEX....6 6 6 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54. MAX HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 6 TO 12 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. CWR.................10 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL DECREASING TO MODERATE FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......9900-11500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600-800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 30 TO 39 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 16 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........25 30 35 40 40 40 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............83 72 66 62 58 55 RH..............10 13 18 32 53 58 20 FT WIND......S 20 S 12 S 8 S 12 S 10 S 8 20 FT WIND GUST.25 18 13 18 15 12 EYE LEVEL WIND..S 16 S 10 S 6 S 10 S 8 S 6 WIND GUST..22 18 12 15 12 10 HAINES INDEX....6 6 6 5 4 4 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80. MIN HUMIDITY........12 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........BREEZY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO WEST 21 TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................10 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......800-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8400-9800 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 14 TO 22 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 36 TO 39 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........35 34 33 32 39 48 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............54 60 67 74 79 78 RH..............43 27 17 12 13 12 20 FT WIND......SW 6 SW 5 SW 10 S 21 W 24 W 25 20 FT WIND GUST.12 10 18 26 30 30 EYE LEVEL WIND..SW 5 SW 4 SW 8 S 17 W 19 W 20 WIND GUST..10 9 13 25 28 29 HAINES INDEX....4 5 6 6 6 6 .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH. .FRIDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...FLOYD REQUESTED BY...TOM EIKENBERRY FMO TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110510.TUNNE.01/DDC