FNUS72 KJAX 110944
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR MAJOR 15...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
544 AM EDT WED MAY 11 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2128 EDT ON MAY 10.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A WEAK BACK DOOR FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH TOWARD THE AREA
TODAY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE FIRE AREA ON
THURSDAY.

RH VALUES ARE FORECAST TO BE NEAR CRITICALLY LOW VALUES FOR BRIEF
DURATIONS THIS AFTERNOON AND THURSDAY AFTERNOON. SUSTAINED WINDS
WILL BE LESS THAN 15 MPH BUT MAY GUST TO NEAR 20 MPH EACH AFTERNOON.
WINDS WILL BE MOSTLY WESTERLY TODAY. WINDS WILL BECOME MORE
NORTHEASTERLY ON THURSDAY. DISPERSION INDICES WILL BE HIGH TODAY...
WITH VALUES AROUND 70.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....94.
MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 7 TO 12 MPH IN
                    THE MORNING.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5300-6500 FT
                    AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 3 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 16 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....67.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........25     30     30     30     30     30
WEATHER COV.....PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE....FOG    NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............68     71     83     90     93     93
RH..............92     87     54     40     33     34
20 FT WIND......S 2    SW 7   W 9    W 10   W 12   W 12
20 FT WIND GUST.5             10     15     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....1000   1500   1500   4000   6500   6500
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 8   W 3    W 3    W 10   W 15   W 15
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....66.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000-5300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-2100 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 9 TO 16 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....5.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........30     30     30     30     30     30
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............90     83     77     73     71     68
RH..............38     48     61     71     82     91
20 FT WIND......W 12   W 10   W 8    W 6    W 3    W 2
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     15     10     5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....5300   4000   4000   2100   300    300
TRANSPORT WIND..W 16   W 16   W 16   W 14   NW 10  NW 10
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....95.
MIN HUMIDITY........34 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 7 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5700-7200 FT
                    AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 8 MPH BECOMING EAST IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....53.

$$
FORECASTER...CARROLL
REQUESTED BY...TAMMY MILTON
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110510.MAJOR.02/JAX