FNUS72 KMHX 101039 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR PAINS BAY FIRE...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 639 AM EDT TUE MAY 10 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0629 EDT ON MAY 10. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A WEAK UPPER DISTURBANCE WILL CROSS THE AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE NORTHEAST STATES WILL RIDGE SOUTH OVER THE REGION THROUGH LATE WEEK. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71. MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1500 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2700-4500 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 7 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING NORTH 16 TO 17 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. LVORI...............4. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............26 31 34 35 36 37 38 39 39 40 41 42 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TEMP................42 53 57 60 63 66 68 69 70 70 70 69 RH..................99 88 86 75 67 58 52 51 47 47 47 49 20 FT WIND DIR......N N NW NW N N N N N N NE NE 20 FT WIND SPD (MPH)6 6 7 7 8 9 10 10 11 11 11 10 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 10 10 15 15 15 15 20 20 20 15 LVORI...............6 6 5 4 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54. MAX HUMIDITY........80 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-2900 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300-700 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 6 TO 15 MPH. LVORI...............3. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............44 45 40 33 27 31 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................68 64 61 59 57 57 RH..................52 63 70 72 77 77 20 FT WIND (MPH)....NE 10 NE 9 NE 7 NE 6 NE 5 NE 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 10 10 LVORI...............1 2 3 3 4 4 HAINES INDEX........5 5 5 5 5 4 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68. MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......900-2800 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3000-3600 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 16 TO 20 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............36 40 40 39 38 28 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................55 60 66 67 68 68 RH..................83 69 54 52 51 51 20 FT WIND (MPH)....NE 6 N 8 N 9 N 11 NE 12 NE 11 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 15 15 20 25 20 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...CULLEN REQUESTED BY...JIM MERRELL TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110510.PAINS.01/MHX