FNUS73 KOAX 101000 FWSOAX SPOT FORECAST FOR NARROWS RIVER PARK...POTTAWATTAMIE COUNTY CONSERVATION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE 500 AM CDT TUE MAY 10 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON MAY 10. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...PLEASE CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL BE MOVING EAST TOWARD THE AREA TODAY. AHEAD OF THE FRONT...ANOTHER UNSEASONABLY WARM DAY IS EXPECTED. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE FOR PARTS OF THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...BUT THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD BE HIGHER FROM WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....88 AT IGNITION...MAX 95. MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 33 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTH AT 15 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTH WINDS 12 TO 15 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 6. MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2800-4500 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN INCREASING TO 3500-5000 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 2000 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 20 TO 22 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........15 13 11 9 17 27 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............69 77 85 91 94 95 RH..............76 54 44 39 33 33 20 FT WIND......S 12 S 13 S 15 S 15 S 15 S 13 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 20 20 20 15 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 66. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 75 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 6 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 20 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........55 63 73 70 71 72 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............92 83 77 73 70 67 RH..............36 47 58 66 72 75 20 FT WIND......S 12 S 10 S 8 S 7 S 6 S 6 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 10 HAINES INDEX....6 5 4 4 4 4 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 83. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 49 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2900-4300 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 2300 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 12 TO 20 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 32 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........63 66 70 73 81 92 WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............66 71 76 80 82 83 RH..............75 68 61 58 54 49 20 FT WIND......S 6 S 7 S 9 S 10 S 12 S 12 20 FT WIND GUST. 10 15 15 15 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 5 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...NWS OMAHA/VALLEY REQUESTED BY...CHAD GRAEVE TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110510.NARRO.01/OAX