FNUS71 KBUF 111138 FWSBUF SPOT FORECAST FOR IROQUOIS GRASSLANDS...USFWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 738 AM EDT WED MAY 11 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 EDT ON MAY 11. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... SPRAWLING HIGH PRESSURE DRAPED FROM EASTERN CANADA TO NEW YORK STATE WILL MAINTAIN DRY WEATHER THROUGH THURSDAY...ALONG WITH SLOWLY INCREASING TEMPERATURES. THE NEXT CHANCE OF RAIN WILL ARRIVE ON FRIDAY AS LOW PRESSURE PUSHES INTO THE GREAT LAKES AND BRINGS OUR AREA THE CHANCE OF SOME SHOWERS...WHICH WILL LINGER THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70. MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT. 20 FOOT WIND........EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH...INCREASING TO 10 TO 14 MPH. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 5400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 13 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSION....MAX 57 (AVERAGE). TIME (EDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............23 21 17 9 5 5 5 4 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TEMP................59 63 66 68 69 70 70 69 RH..................62 57 53 50 48 47 47 48 20 FT WIND DIR......E E E E E E E E 20 FT WIND SPD......8 9 10 13 14 14 14 14 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 15 15 15 15 15 15 HAINES INDEX........2 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 SMK DISPERSION......11 18 29 43 55 57 53 46 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48. MAX HUMIDITY........83 PERCENT. 20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH...DECREASING TO 5 TO 8 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MIN 100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 7 TO 16 MPH...DECREASING TO 5 TO 6 MPH LATE. SMOKE DISPERSION....MIN 1 (POOR). TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).............4 4 4 4 5 6 8 12 15 14 14 13 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TEMP................66 63 59 57 55 53 52 52 51 51 51 51 RH..................53 60 67 72 76 78 80 80 81 81 80 81 20 FT WIND DIR......E E E E E E E SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD......13 10 9 9 8 8 8 7 7 6 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 SMK DISPERSION......39 25 9 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77. MIN HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT. 20 FOOT WIND........EAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 5000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 13 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSION....MAX 48 (AVERAGE). TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............12 11 34 35 38 40 42 45 46 46 47 48 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TEMP................51 52 53 57 64 69 72 73 75 75 75 75 RH..................81 83 78 68 56 49 45 43 41 41 41 41 20 FT WIND DIR......SE SE SE SE SE SE E E E E E E 20 FT WIND SPD......5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 20 FT WIND GUST..... HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 SMK DISPERSION......0 0 3 12 27 43 48 47 43 40 37 32 $$ FORECASTER...WCH REQUESTED BY...PAUL HESS TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110511.IROQU.01/BUF