FNUS71 KCTP 101946
FWSCTP

SPOT FORECAST FOR LOCKE VALLEY RX BURN  PA-RX-05201102...PA BUREAU OF FORESTRY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
346 PM EDT TUE MAY 10 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON MAY 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE.

.DISCUSSION...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER PENNSYLVANIA ON WEDNESDAY...ENSURING
A CONTINUATION OF DRY WEATHER AND LIGHT WINDS. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL FALL
TO THE MID 30S BY AFTERNOON...A BIT HIGHER THAN THOSE OF TODAY.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING EAST 5 TO 6
                    MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1800 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4900-5100 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............65  67  67  64  57  51  44  38  34  33  29  25
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TEMP................48  49  51  54  57  60  63  66  68  70  72  70
RH..................82  80  77  69  62  55  51  46  43  40  36  39
20 FT WIND DIR......NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT WIND SPD......0   1   2   2   3   5   5   5   5   5   6   6
20 FT WIND GUST.....    5   5   5   5                           10
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.4 0.6 1.0 1.8 2.9 3.8 4.3 4.7 4.9 5.1 5.1 5.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E   E   NE  NE  NE  NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.....5   6   7   6   6   5   5   6   6   6   6   6
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........4   4   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5   5   4

$$
FORECASTER...WFO CTP
REQUESTED BY...MARK POTTER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110511.LOCKE.01/CTP