FNUS71 KCTP 120935
FWSCTP

SPOT FORECAST FOR TIN CAN FIRE...PA BUREAU OF FORESTRY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
535 AM EDT THU MAY 12 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON MAY 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE.

.DISCUSSION...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN ALONG THE EAST COAST...ENSURING
ANOTHER DRY DAY. SKIES WILL BE MOSTLY SUNNY AND SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL
REMAIN LIGHT. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL BE A BIT HIGHER THAN RECENT DAYS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO
                    6 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2500-3300 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............32  33  34  34  33  32  31  30  30  32  37  42
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TEMP................51  52  52  57  63  67  70  72  74  76  76  75
RH..................75  73  75  64  54  48  44  41  39  37  36  38
20 FT WIND DIR......N   N   NE  NE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD......1   1   1   2   3   5   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   5   5   5   5   10  10  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.4 0.7 1.1 1.6 2.1 2.5 2.7 3.0 3.1 3.3 3.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.....7   9   12  12  9   8   7   6   6   6   6   6
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........5   5   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5   5   4

$$
FORECASTER...WFO CTP
REQUESTED BY...JOHN WAMBAUGH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110511.TINCA.01/CTP