FNUS73 KDTX 111236
FWSDTX

SPOT FORECAST FOR MAURE RD...MI DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
836 AM EDT WED MAY 11 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1130 EDT ON MAY 11.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

A GRADUALLY MOISTENING ENVIRONMENT WILL PROVIDE A LOW A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY.  OTHERWISE...A STRONG RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BRING WARMER CONDITIONS TODAY WITH READINGS CLIMBING
INTO THE MID AND UPPER 70S...EXCEPTION BEING FOR LOCALES DIRECTLY
DOWNWIND OF THE PREVAILING SOUTHEAST FLOW OFF THE COOLER LAKES.
WARMING TREND CONTINUES INTO THURSDAY WITH READINGS TOPPING OUT A
ROUND 80. THE GRADUAL APPROACH OF A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING
INCREASING CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION FOR THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH ABOUT 1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 14 TO 22 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENTILATION RATE....GOOD (MAX...400).

TIME (EDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM
SKY (%).........43  51  60  69  66  64  62  60  57
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW
TEMP............63  65  67  69  70  70  70  70  68
RH..............56  52  50  47  47  48  48  50  51
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..10  10  10  10  10  10  10  9   7
20 FT WIND GUST.15  15  15  15  15  20  15  15  15
EYE LVL WND DIR.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
EYE LVL WND SPD.10  10  10  10  10  10  10  9   7
EYE LVL WND GST.15  15  15  15  15  20  15  15  15
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.8 1.1 1.4 1.8 2.1 2.2 1.9 1.4
HAINES INDEX....2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   2
VRATE (KT-FT)...100 100 200 300 300 400 400 300 200

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) UNTIL 0500...THEN
                    BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-58.
MAX HUMIDITY........81 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 9 TO 17 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENTILATION RATE....POOR (MIN...0).

TIME (EDT)      8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   6 AM
SKY (%).........55     56     56     56     66     75
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............67     63     61     59     58     58
RH..............52     59     63     67     72     79
20 FT WIND DIR..SE     SE     SE     SE     SE     SE
20 FT WIND SPD..7      6      7      7      7      7
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     10     10
EYE LEVEL WIND..SE 7   SE 6   SE 7   SE 7   SE 7   SE 7
EYE LEVEL WIND..10     10     10     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....1000   700    600    400    400    400
HAINES INDEX....2      2      2      2      3      3
VRATE (KT-FT)...100    100    100    100    0      0

$$
FORECASTER...DODSON
REQUESTED BY...RANDY MCKENZIE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110511.MAURE.01/DTX