FNUS74 KEPZ 112203
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR MILLER...GNF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
403 PM MDT WED MAY 11 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1522 MDT ON MAY 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
DEEP UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE OUT OF THE AREA TONIGHT...SO EXPECT
CUMULUS CLOUDS TO DIMINISH AROUND SUNSET.  ANOTHER COLD NIGHT IS ON
TAP...WITH FREEZING TEMPERATURES LIKELY IN LOW-LYING AREAS ESPECIALLY
NEAR THE CLIFF DWELLINGS AREA AND GILA HOT SPRINGS.

SURFACE HIGH WILL BUILD SOUTH THROUGH THE WEEKEND WHILE A RIDGE OF
HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT MOVES INTO THE REGION.  WINDS WILL BECOME MORE
NORTHWESTERLY AND DIMINISH OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS...WITH SLOWLY
WARMING TEMPERATURES EXPECTED.  VENTILATION WILL BECOME A LITTLE
MORE LIMITED ON FRIDAY...WITH VENT RATES EXPECTED TO STRADDLE THE
FAIR AND GOOD CATEGORIES.  A SOUTHEASTERLY PUSH WILL BRING SLIGHTLY
HIGHER MOISTURE INTO THE LOWLANDS FRIDAY NIGHT/SATURDAY MORNING...
BUT ANY MOISTURE INCREASE OVER THE GILA REGION WILL BE MINIMAL AT
BEST.  SOUTHERLY WINDS EARLY SATURDAY WILL BECOME SOUTHWESTERLY
AND BEGIN TO INCREASE SAT AFTERNOON AS THE RIDGE AXIS ALOFT SHIFTS
EAST OF THE AREA.  WHILE CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN CRITICALLY DRY...
WINDS WILL REMAIN SHY OF RED FLAG CRITERIA THROUGH AT LEAST SATURDAY
AND PROBABLY SUNDAY.  A DEEPENING TROUGH OFF THE WEST COAST WILL
LIKELY BRING INCREASINGLY BREEZY SOUTHWEST WINDS TO THE AREA EARLY
NEXT WEEK.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........BECOMING CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....30-36...COLDEST IN VALLEY/CANYON FLOORS.
MAX HUMIDITY........40-45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST-NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 KNOTS IN THE EVENING
                    THEN VARIABLE DRAINAGE FLOWS AROUND 5 KNOTS
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 IN THE EVENING.
                    2 AFTER MIDNIGHT.


.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-72.
MIN HUMIDITY........10-15 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST 7 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 11300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 12 KNOTS.
VENTILATION RATE....135,000 KNOT-FEET (VERY GOOD)
HAINES INDEX........3-4 IN THE MORNING.
                    5 IN THE AFTERNOON.


.THURSDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....32-38...COLDEST IN VALLEY/CANYON FLOORS.
MAX HUMIDITY........30-40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST 6 TO 10 KNOTS IN THE EVENING
                    THEN VARIABLE DRAINAGE FLOWS AROUND 5 KNOTS
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4.


.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76.
MIN HUMIDITY........7-12 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 3 TO 5 KNOTS IN THE MORNING...BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST 4 TO 7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 12300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 5 KNOTS.
VENTILATION RATE....61,500 KNOT-FEET (GOOD)
HAINES INDEX........4 IN THE MORNING.
                    6 IN THE AFTERNOON.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-41...COLDEST IN VALLEY/CANYON FLOORS.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5.


.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80.
MIN HUMIDITY........8-12 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 6 TO 10 MPH THROUGH MIDDAY THEN
                    SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON
                    WITH HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 13000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 KNOTS.
VENTILATION RATE....195,000 KNOT-FEET (EXCELLENT)
HAINES INDEX........4 IN THE MORNING.
                    6 IN THE AFTERNOON.


$$
FORECASTER...HARDIMAN
REQUESTED BY...DAN MINDAR
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110511.MILLE.01/EPZ