FNUS75 KGJT 111503
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR ELECTRA LAKE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
903 AM MDT WED MAY 11 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 MDT ON MAY 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.


.DISCUSSION...THE UPPER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE EAST OF THE
AREA THIS AFTERNOON WITH A FEW SHOWERS LINGERING THROUGH THE
EVENING. SOME INSTABILITY WILL PERSIST INTO EARLY THIS EVENING
ESPECIALLY NEAR ANY SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS. DRIER AND WARMER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WORK WEEK.


.TODAY (UNTIL SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (80-90%). NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS AT TIMES
                    MIXING WITH RAIN AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....40-45 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-45%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 3-8 MPH UNTIL NOON. WEST 10-15 MPH
                    THROUGH MID-AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING WEST-
                    NORTHWEST LATE IN THE AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS TO
                    25 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL NOON...THEN IMPROVING TO EXCELLENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 9800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 MPH...THEN BECOMING NORTHWEST 22 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT (AFTER SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (40-50%). ISOLATED NOW SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....25-30 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........70-75%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 8-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    30 MPH POSSIBLE UNTIL AROUND 2200...THEN
                    DECREASING TO 3-6 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 2200...THEN POOR (7500 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......7300 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 1500 FT AGL AFTER
                    2200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 17 MPH...DECREASING TO 6 MPH AFTER
                    2200.

$$
FORECASTER...ELLEN HEFFERNAN
REQUESTED BY...BRITTON QUINLAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110511.ELECT.01/GJT