FNUS76 KLOX 120015
FWSLOX

SPOT FORECAST FOR RANCHO 2...CNTY LAC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
515 PM PDT WED MAY 11 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1305 PDT ON MAY 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

WEAK HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE REGION WILL CONTINUE A WARMING AND
DRYING TREND INTO THURSDAY. THE RIDGE WILL MOVES EAST OF THE AREA
ON FRIDAY PERMITTING SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT TO DEVELOP ON FRIDAY AND
ONSHORE FLOW TO INCREASE. AS A RESULT...A COOLING AND MOISTENING
TREND IS EXPECTED FOR LATE WEEK. A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL
APPROACH THE AREA OVER THE WEEKEND CONTINUING A COOLING TREND AND
KEEPING FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR THE BURN AREA MODERATED. A
CHANCE OF WETTING RAINS IS POSSIBLE BETWEEN SATURDAY NIGHT AND
SUNDAY NIGHT.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-84 DEGREES.
MIN HUMIDITY........27-31 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 RIDGETOP...........NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS 5 MPH OR LESS UNTIL
    1400 HOURS THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AND
    INCREASING TO 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25
    MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL OR LESS IN THE MORNING...LIFTING
    TO INCREASING TO 8500 FT AGL BY 1400 HOURS.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE MORNING...
    BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH BY 1400 HOURS.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS EARLY BECOMING
    SOUTHWEST 3 MPH OR LESS AT 0900 HOURS. WINDS
    THEN INCREASING TO 4 TO 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 10
    MPH BY 1400 HOURS.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-54 DEGREES.
MAX HUMIDITY........68-72 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25
    MPH UNTIL 1100 HOURS...DIMINISHING TO 5 MPH
    THROUGH 0200 HOURS...THEN BECOMING SOUTHEAST
    TO SOUTH 5 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4250 FT AGL EARLY...DESCENDING TO 500 FT AGL
    OR LESS BY 2200 HOURS.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH EARLY...DIMINISHING TO
    WEST AROUND 5 MPH BY 2200 HOURS.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 4 TO 8 WITH GUSTS TO 10 MPH
    UNTIL 1900 HOURS BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY
    WINDS 3 MPH OR LESS BY 2200 HOURS.


FORECASTER...HALL
REQUESTED BY...LARRY TUCKER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110511.RANCH.02/LOX

$$