FNUS71 KLWX 102016
FWSLWX

SPOT FORECAST FOR NORTH NEW ROAD RUN...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
416 PM EDT TUE MAY 10 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EDT ON MAY 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE MID ATLANTIC STATES WILL MOVE OFFSHORE...
ALLOWING A STRONG AND SLOW-MOVING UPPER-LEVEL DISTURBANCE TO ENTER
THE REGION DURING THE WEEKEND AND WILL PROVIDE UNSETTLED WEATHER
CONDITIONS THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHEAST
                    AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE LATE EVENING
                    AND OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................20 PERCENT...DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT IN THE
                    EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-3300 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 400-1100 FT
                    AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 8 MPH.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........66     68     68     67     67     69
WEATHER COV.....S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............67     63     59     56     54     53
RH..............58     70     80     90     93     96
20 FT WIND......SE 3   SE 4   SE 3   SE 3   S 3    S 3
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     10     10
CWR.............20     10     10     10     10     10

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MIN HUMIDITY........73 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO
                    6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT...INCREASING TO 30 PERCENT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2600 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3000-3800 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 9 MPH.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........72     74     74     74     74     73
WEATHER COV.....                            CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............52     56     61     64     64     64
RH..............100    83     81     75     73     73
20 FT WIND......S 2    SW 3   S 3    S 4    S 5    S 5
20 FT WIND GUST.5      10     10     10     15     15
CWR.............10     10     10     10     30     30

$$
FORECASTER...SCHOOR
REQUESTED BY...TOM LEDBETTER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110511.NORTH.01/LWX