FNUS72 KMFL 120227
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR JARHEAD...FLORIDA HIGHWAY PATROL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1027 PM EDT WED MAY 11 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2200 EDT ON MAY 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

A LARGE UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE
ATLANTIC HAS BEGUN TO AFFECT LOW LEVEL WINDS ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA.
SURFACE WINDS ARE SOUTHWEST AND WINDS A BIT ABOVE THE SURFACE SOUTHERLY.
BUT AS THE NIGHT GOES ON...WINDS AT BOTH LEVELS WILL MOVE MORE WESTERLY
WITH THE SURFACE WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST THROUGH THE NIGHT.

WITH ACTIVE FIRE MORE LIMITED IN SCOPE...LESS SMOKE WILL BE PRODUCED
BUT AREAS OF SMOKE CAN BE EXPECTED EAST OF ROUTE 29 WHICH CAN BECOME
LOCALLY DENSE FROM MONROE STATION EAST ALONG THE TAMIAMI TRAIL INTO
WESTERN MIAMI DADE COUNTY. SOME SMOKE MAY AFFECT THE WESTERN SUBURBS
OF MIAMI AND FORT LAUDERDALE BUT THE HEAVIEST CONCENTRATION OF SMOKE
WILL REMAIN IN THE INTERIOR FROM OASIS TO THE 40 MILE BEND ON THE TAMIAMI
TRAIL.

SOME PATCHY FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE AWAY FROM THE IMMEDIATE FIRE
ESPECIALLY IN THE SLOUGHS WERE IT MAY MIX WITH THE SMOKE DRASTICALLY
LOWERING THE VISIBILITY.

RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL NEAR 100 PERCENT OVERNIGHT LEADING TO THE HIGH
LVORI.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 70.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-3100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-300 FT AGL
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 3 TO 8 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....3.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (EDT)      10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   6 AM   8 AM
SKY (%).........20     20     10     10     10     10
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............79     76     75     72     71     71
RH..............67     74     79     87     90     90
20 FT WIND......W 2    SW 2   W 2    W 2    NW 1   N 2
20 FT WIND GUST.5
EYE LEVEL WIND..W 2    SW 2   W 2    W 2    NW 1   N 2
EYE LEVEL WIND..5
MIX HGT (FT)....3100   1700   300    300    200    2100
MIXNG WIND......NW 3   NW 5   NW 6   NW 6   N 8    N 10
DISPERSION IDX..2      2      3      3      4      28
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     10     10     10     10     10
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 88.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100-4000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....28 INCREASING TO 59 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.

$$
FORECASTER...ROTHFUSS
REQUESTED BY...LT SAPP
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE