FNUS72 KMLB 111136
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR JAY ANGELS...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
736 AM EDT WED MAY 11 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0705 EDT ON MAY 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...54 FOOT WIND TOWER NETWORK WAS RECORDING SOUTHWEST
WINDS IN THE 5 TO 10 MPH RANGE. THE VERTICAL WIND PROFILERS AT THE
SPACE CENTER WERE DETECTING SOUTHWEST WINDS TO 20 MPH FROM JUST
ABOVE THE SURFACE TO AROUND 2000 FEET THEN SHIFTING TO THE WEST AT
10 TO 15 MPH THROUGH 4000 FEET. THESE STRONGER WINDS WILL MIX DOWN
DURING THE MORNING AND WILL DELAY THE ONSET AND INLAND PUSH OF THE
EAST COAST SEA BREEZE.

A WEAK "BACK DOOR" SURFACE TROUGH WILL DROP INTO NORTH CENTRAL
FLORIDA AND THE ADJACENT ATLANTIC LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. THERE
MAY BE A FEW SHOWERS AND LIGHTNING STORMS ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE
BOUNDARY LATE IN THE DAY...MAINLY ALONG THE COAST.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3900-5100 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 12 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....60.
LVORI...............0.

TIME (EDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
SKY (%).........PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....                                        SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....                                        TSM TSM
TEMP............72  75  78  82  83  85  86  86  86  85  84  82
RH..............87  84  79  71  65  62  57  55  57  59  65  69
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   SE  SE  S
20 FT WIND SPD..9   12  12  12  10  10  10  9   9   8   8   8
20 FT WIND GUST.10  15  15  15              10  10  10  10  10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2000...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 7 TO 12 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....6.
LVORI...............6.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86.
MIN HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 6 TO 7 MPH UNTIL
                    LATE AFTERNOON...THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST
                    9 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 7 TO 14 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....50.
LVORI...............0.

$$
FORECASTER...WIMMER
REQUESTED BY...CYNTHIA BRANHAM
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110511.JAYAN.01/MLB