FNUS72 KMLB 112213
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR JAY ANGELS...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
613 PM EDT WED MAY 11 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1725 EDT ON MAY 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE HAS PUSHED WELL INLAND OF THE
BURN SITE.  HOWEVER...A OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM THUNDERSTORMS OVER
CENTRAL BREVARD COUNTY WILL FORCE 20 FOOT WINDS TO VEER TO THE SOUTH
THROUGH SUNSET. A  WEAK "BACK DOOR" SURFACE TROUGH WILL DROP INTO NORTH
CENTRAL FLORIDA AND THE ADJACENT ATLANTIC THIS EVENING WHICH WILL
CREATE A WEAK PRESSURE PATTERN AND A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR AN AFTERNOON
SHOWER OR LIGHTNING STORM THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.


.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                   THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE....AROUND 68.
MAX HUMIDITY.......94 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT).......NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING
                   BECOMING LIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN.....10 PERCENT.
LAL................2 UNTIL 2000...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT......5100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS....NORTHEAST 7 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX...3.
LVORI..............6.

TIME (EDT)         6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%)............PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  MCR MCR MCR MCR
WEATHER COV........SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE.......TSM TSM
TEMP...............83  81  79  77  76  75  74  73  72  71  70  69
RH.................59  65  74  82  85  87  87  90  90  93  97  97
20 FT WIND DIR.....NE  E   E   E   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  N   N
20 FT WIND SPD.....9   8   8   8   8   8   7   6   5   3   2   2
20 FT WIND GUST....10  10  10  10  10  10              5   5   5


.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER........MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                   THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE....AROUND 82.
MIN HUMIDITY.......69 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT).......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN.....20 PERCENT.
LAL................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT......400-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500 FT AGL EARLY
                   IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS....EAST 5 TO 12 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX...36.
LVORI..............0.

$$

FORECASTER...BRAGAW
REQUESTED BY...CYNTHIA BRANHAM
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110511.JAYAN.02/MLB