FNUS74 KBMX 121300
FWSBMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR IVORY MTN...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
800 AM CDT THU MAY 12 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CDT ON MAY 12.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

ACROSS SOUTHWEST CLEBURNE COUNTY...FOG DEVELOPMENT IS A CONCERN
THIS MORNING...AS LOCATIONS NEARBY ARE REPORTING AROUND 3/4 MILE
VISIBILITY OR LESS. THE FOG WILL STICK AROUND THROUGH AROUND
9AM...THEN QUICKLY MIX OUT THROUGH THE MID MORNING. WESTERLY AND
SOUTHWESTERLY TRANSPORT WINDS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.

NO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ARE ANTICIPATED THROUGHOUT THE
PERIOD...AS RAIN CHANCES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS
TONIGHT...AND DURING THE DAY ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. MUCH COOLER
AND DRIER AIR WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT BEHIND A
STRONG COLD FRONT.


.TODAY...
TIME (CDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY.............MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............72     80     85     88     88
RH..............71     56     45     37     36
20 FT WIND......SW 1   SW 2   SW 5   SW 6   SW 7
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     10     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....1500   3800   5400   6400   6200
TRANSPORT WIND..W 7    W 3    SW 9   SW 13  W 12
DISPERSION......13     16     57     89     79

.TONIGHT...
TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY.............MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....       S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............86     77     72     69     68     67
RH..............40     58     72     79     78     93
20 FT WIND......W 3    W 1    NE 0   NW 0   W 1    SW 1
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     20     20     20     20     20
MIX HGT (FT)....3400   1100   300    200    200    200
TRANSPORT WIND..W 12   W 9    W 3    W 3    W 3    SW 2
DISPERSION......48     4      2      2      2      1

.FRIDAY...
TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY.............MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............66     67     78     83     84     84
RH..............98     93     66     59     55     50
20 FT WIND......W 1    W 1    W 3    SW 6   SW 7   SW 6
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     40     40     40     40     40
MIX HGT (FT)....BLW100 1900   5000   5800   4300   2100
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 3   SW 7   SW 12  W 17   W 16   SW 10
DISPERSION......1      17     48     76     62     26

$$
FORECASTER...GOGGINS
REQUESTED BY...JOE SMITH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110512.IVORY.01/BMX