FNUS71 KLWX 121317
FWSLWX

SPOT FORECAST FOR BUCK MTN  BLOCK 1 RX BURN...US FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
917 AM EDT THU MAY 12 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EDT ON MAY 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
SHOWERS AND T-STORMS WILL LIKELY STAY TO THE WEST THROUGH MOST OF TODAY.
HOWEVER...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE
THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS AN UPPER-LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVES
THROUGH. MORE SHOWERS AND T-STORMS ARE POSSIBLE FRIDAY...ESPECIALLY IN
THE AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2600 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3200-4200 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 13 MPH.

TIME (EDT)      NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........69     74     77
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............70     73     74
RH..............63     55     55
20 FT WIND......S 3    S 3    S 3
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      5
CWR.............10     10     10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
MAX HUMIDITY........87 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL EARLY
                    MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. GUSTY
                    AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................10 PERCENT...INCREASING TO 50 PERCENT IN THE
                    EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2700 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 400-600 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 10 MPH.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........83     86     86     86     85     83
WEATHER COV.....       CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............73     69     66     64     63     61
RH..............59     66     70     78     78     84
20 FT WIND......SE 4   S 5    S 4    S 4    S 4    S 2
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     10     5
CWR.............10     50     50     50     50     50

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING.
CWR.................50 PERCENT...DECREASING TO 30 PERCENT IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 60 PERCENT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2300 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2300-2600 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 13 MPH.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........82     80     83     87     90     90
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............61     60     65     68     71     71
RH..............84     87     75     70     63     63
20 FT WIND......S 3    SE 2   SE 2   SE 3   SE 4   SE 5
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      5      5      5      10
CWR.............50     30     30     30     60     60

$$
FORECASTER...LASORSA
REQUESTED BY...S  RUTKOWSKI
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110512.BUCKM.01/LWX