FNUS75 KMSO 121722
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR DRY GULCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
1122 AM MDT THU MAY 12 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1115 MDT ON MAY 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...CUMULUS WILL CONTINUE BUILDING THROUGH THE DAY. AFTER
1700 HOURS SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP AND LAST THROUGH THIS EVENING
BUT LIQUID PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS WILL REMAIN LIGHT. ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS ALSO POSSIBLE AND COULD PRODUCE ERRATIC
WINDS AT THE BURN SITE. OTHERWISE...BREEZY SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE LIKELY
AFTER 1400 HOURS AS THE ATMOSPHERE MIXES OUT. FRIDAY SHOULD BE DRY
AS A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE AMPLIFIES AND EASTERLY FLOW SETS UP OVER
THE BURN SITE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-69.
MIN HUMIDITY........19-24 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST 3-6 MPH BECOMING SOUTH 6-11 MPH LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 15 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....32-37.
MAX HUMIDITY........70-75 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6-11 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    VARIABLE DOWNSLOPE AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 5 MPH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-72.
MIN HUMIDITY........17-22 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 3-6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6900 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...DEROSA/SMITH
REQUESTED BY...DOUG
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110512.DRYGU.01/MSO