FNUS75 KMSO 121642 FWSMSO SPOT FORECAST FOR MCCARTNEY GARRISON RX NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT 1042 AM MDT THU MAY 12 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 MDT ON MAY 12. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL ALLOW FOR SOME MOISTURE INTO OUR REGION TODAY. THIS MOISTURE WILL CAUSE AN INCREASE IN CLOUD COVER TODAY. THIS AFTERNOON THE ATMOSPHERE APPEARS TO BECOME UNSTABLE ENOUGH TO SUPPORT A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THE CONVECTION SHOULD DIMINISH THIS EVENING AFTER SUNSET. THE RIDGE DOES BUILD BACK INTO THE AREA...BUT THE ATMOSPHERE DOES BECOME UNSTABLE ONCE AGAIN DURING THE AFTERNOON. THE SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT SHOWS THAT EASTERLY WINDS WILL DEVELOP ON FRIDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................10 PERCENT. MAX TEMPERATURE.....61-66. MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 2-4 MPH BECOMING SOUTH 5-10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......7400 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 10 MPH. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. CWR.................10 PERCENT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-43. MAX HUMIDITY........64-69 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING VARIABLE 2-4 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 5 MPH. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................10 PERCENT. MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68. MIN HUMIDITY........18-23 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 2-4 MPH BECOMING EAST 5-10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......6900 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 5 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...SMITH REQUESTED BY...DOUG TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110512.MCCAR.01/MSO