FNUS75 KMSO 122320
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR ROCKY HILLS 2
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
520 PM MDT THU MAY 12 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1715 MDT ON MAY 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LEVEL WEATHER DISTURBANCE COMBINED WITH A
SLOW MOVING SURFACE FRONT HAS PROMPTED SCATTERED SHOWERS NEAR THE
FIRE LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THESE SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE NEAR THE
FIRE THROUGH EARLY EVENING...DISSIPATING SHORTLY AFTER SUNSET.
WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE FROM THE SOUTH/SOUTHWEST BUT NEAR
SHOWERS...COULD BECOME WEST/NORTHWEST AND BREEZY WITH GUSTS NEAR
30 MPH. THE UPPER RIDGE WILL BEGIN TO REBOUND OVER THE REGION LATE
TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. HOWEVER...LINGERING LOW AND MID LEVEL MOISTURE
AND VERY WARM TEMPERATURES WILL HELP DESTABILIZE THE ATMOSPHERE
ENOUGH TO SUPPORT AFTERNOON CUMULUS AND LATE AFTERNOON SHOWERS.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
                    ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING...DECREASING
                    AFTER 2100.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....37-42.
MAX HUMIDITY........76-81 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 8-12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 18...MAINLY
                    THIS EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 5 MPH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE AFTERNOON...MAINLY AFTER
                    1500.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-74 BOTTOM...60-65 TOP.
MIN HUMIDITY........16-21 PERCENT BOTTOM...20-25 PERCENT TOP.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 2-5 MPH BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 8 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 5 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...MEAD
REQUESTED BY...DOUG
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110512.ROCKY.01/MSO