FNUS75 KMSO 121607
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR SAWMILL CYR 38
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
1007 AM MDT THU MAY 12 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 MDT ON MAY 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH THROUGH
NORTHWEST MONTANA THIS MORNING. THIS FRONT WILL CAUSE A FEW
LIGHT SHOWERS TODAY. THE SHOWER ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO DIMINISH
THIS EVENING. THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD BACK OVER THE
REGION ON FRIDAY. BUT THE ATMOSPHERE DOES APPEAR TO BECOME
UNSTABLE ENOUGH TO SUPPORT THE DEVELOPMENT OF A FEW SHOWERS
DURING THE AFTERNOON ON FRIDAY. THE SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT SHOWS
THAT EASTERLY WINDS WILL DEVELOP ON FRIDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....61-66.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 2-4 MPH BECOMING WEST 5-10 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 5 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
                    CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-41.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-85 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5-10 MPH BECOMING VARIABLE 2-6 MPH
                    AFTER SUNSET.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 5 MPH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY BY AFTERNOON. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-71.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 2-4 MPH BECOMING EAST 5-10 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...SMITH
REQUESTED BY...DEWEY ARNOLD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110512.SAWMI.01/MSO