FNUS73 KSGF 121058 FWSSGF SPOT FORECAST FOR OZARK FLOOD...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO 558 AM CDT THU MAY 12 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0548 CDT ON MAY 12. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL BEGIN TO MOVE SLOWLY TOWARDS THE OZARKS TODAY. INCREASING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL ACT TO INCREASE INSTABILITY THIS AFTERNOON. IF THE REGION SEES ENOUGH SUNSHINE AND WARMING...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS COULD BEGIN EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. A COLD FRONT WILL THEN BEGIN TO PUSH THROUGH THE AREA THIS EVENING WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. WINDS WILL REMAIN SOUTHERLY INTO EARLY FRIDAY MORNING BEFORE TURNING OUT OF THE WEST AND NORTHWEST BY SATURDAY. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL REMAIN ABOVE 50 PERCENT THROUGH HE FORECAST REQUEST PERIOD. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MIN HUMIDITY........77 PERCENT AT REQUEST...MIN 51 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTH AT 3 MPH AT REQUEST...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 12 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. CHANCE OF PRECIP....30 PERCENT. MAX TEMPERATURE.....70 AT REQUEST...MAX 84. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............70 72 77 80 82 83 RH..............77 73 66 58 54 51 20 FT WIND......S 2 SW 4 SW 5 S 4 S 6 SW 9 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 10 5 10 20 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 40 40 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 60. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 89 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. CHANCE OF PRECIP....50 PERCENT. TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............81 76 70 67 65 63 RH..............52 59 73 79 84 88 20 FT WIND......SE 5 SE 2 S 2 S 2 SW 2 SW 2 20 FT WIND GUST.10 5 5 5 5 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 50 50 50 50 50 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 78. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 50 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 12 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. CHANCE OF PRECIP....50 PERCENT. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............62 65 70 74 76 77 RH..............91 85 72 62 55 50 20 FT WIND......W 2 W 2 SW 3 W 5 W 8 W 9 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 10 15 20 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 50 50 50 50 50 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 53. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 66 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 13 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. CHANCE OF PRECIP....50 PERCENT. TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............75 69 63 60 58 56 56 56 59 62 63 63 RH..............51 58 68 74 78 81 77 74 66 58 55 55 20 FT WIND......W 6 W 5 NW 4 NW 5 NW 6 NW 8 NW 9 NW 10 NW 9 NW 9 NW 9 NW 9 20 FT WIND GUST.15 10 5 10 10 15 20 20 20 20 20 20 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 50 50 50 50 50 50 40 40 40 30 30 $$ FORECASTER...HATCH REQUESTED BY...JEFF WEST TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110512.OZARK.01/SGF