FNUS71 KBGM 130127 FWSBGM SPOT FORECAST FOR PENN LAKE SGL 119...PENNSYLVANIA GAME COMMISSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY 927 PM EDT THU MAY 12 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON MAY 13. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL DRAW IN INCREASING HUMIDITY LEVELS TO NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA DURING THE DAY FRIDAY. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL ONLY DROP TO 50-55% DURING THE AFTERNOON. AN AREA OF UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE WILL APPROACH THE AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON, INCREASING THE CHANCES FOR SHOWERS. SHOWERS WILL BE HIT AND MISS DURING THE MORNING WITH A VERY GRADUAL INCREASE IN COVERAGE LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO ONLY BE A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH INCREASING CHANCES FOR SHOWERS OVER THE WEEKEND. .REST OF TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 53. RH..................MAX 86 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......600-700 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO FAIR (14200-18300 KNOT-FT). TIME (EDT) 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).............40 51 57 67 76 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................64 58 56 55 53 RH..................65 78 80 74 83 20 FT WIND..........S 5 S 5 S 5 S 5 S 5 20 FT WIND GUST..... LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........4 4 3 4 4 VRATE KT-FT/1000....18 18 18 14 14 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE. TEMPERATURE.........56 AT IGNITION...MAX 65. RH..................77 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 58 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 600-1400 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2900 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 21 MPH. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR /14200 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD /34300 KNOT-FT/. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............78 87 85 82 80 83 WEATHER COV......... S CHC S CHC S CHC CHANCE S CHC WEATHER TYPE........NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP................53 53 56 60 63 65 RH..................83 86 77 67 62 58 20 FT WIND..........S 5 S 5 S 5 S 5 S 5 S 5 20 FT WIND GUST..... 10 10 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........4 4 3 3 3 3 VRATE KT-FT/1000....14 14 14 14 34 34 $$ FORECASTER...P. NICOSIA REQUESTED BY...PATRICK MCELHENNY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110513.PENNL.01/BGM