FNUS75 KBOU 131706 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR SNYDER CREEK...OTHER NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 1106 AM MDT FRI MAY 13 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER COLORADO TODAY AND TONIGHT. THIS WILL BRING DRY WEATHER ALTHOUGH A FEW CUMULUS CLOUDS ARE STILL EXPECTED TO BUILD UP TODAY WITH ENOUGH MOISTURE AND DAYTIME HEATING. LIGHT WINDS WILL PREVAIL WITH LIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENTS IN PLACE. BY SATURDAY...A WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE ALONG WITH A FRONTAL PASSAGE WILL BRING A RETURN TO UNSETTLED WEATHER CONDITIONS. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES WILL BE COLD ENOUGH FOR SOME ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL SATURDAY NIGHT. DRIER AND SOMEWHAT WARMER CONDITIONS ARE THEN EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP SUNDAY AND MONDAY BUT TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN AT OR SLIGHTLY BELOW SEASONAL NORMALS. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....56. MIN HUMIDITY........25%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 6-12 MPH...TURNING SOUTHWEST (UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY) 5-10 MPH BY 1400. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 9-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......7200-8200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%). MIN TEMPERATURE.....29. MAX HUMIDITY........82%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 6-7 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 4-8 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN SOUTHWEST AROUND 4 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......6200-7200 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 0100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 2000...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND SNOW SHOWERS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....55. MIN HUMIDITY........28%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTHEAST 7-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 4-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 8800-9800 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000. GOOD AFTER 1200. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY NIGHT...RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN UNTIL 0600. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR SNDER CREEK. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 05/13-10 20 1 0 47 30 W 5 5 3 1 N36 5157 N18 80693 G 05/13-11 20 1 0 49 28 NW 7 11 3 1 N33 5922 N17 84810 G 05/13-12 33 1 0 51 27 NW 8 12 3 1 N30 6687 N15 88926 G 05/13-13 33 1 0 52 26 NW 8 12 3 1 N28 7372 N14 89606 G 05/13-14 33 1 0 53 25 NW 8 12 3 1 N25 8058 N13 90285 G 05/13-15 37 1 0 54 25 W 8 11 3 1 N24 8743 N12 90965 G 05/13-16 37 1 0 55 25 SW 8 11 3 1 N22 8250 N10 76723 G 05/13-17 37 1 0 54 26 SW 8 11 2 1 NW21 7757 NW 9 62482 G 05/13-18 37 1 0 52 29 W 7 7 2 1 NW21 7264 NW 8 48240 F 05/13-19 37 1 0 49 34 W 6 6 2 1 NW21 6203 NW 7 38399 P 05/13-20 37 1 0 43 45 W 5 5 3 1 NW22 5142 NW 6 28557 P 05/13-21 38 1 0 37 57 W 3 3 3 1 NW23 4082 W 6 18716 P 05/13-22 38 1 0 36 62 W 2 2 3 1 NW23 3053 W 5 13019 P 05/13-23 38 1 0 35 63 W 2 2 3 1 NW23 2025 SW 3 7322 P 05/14-00 32 3 1 33 70 NW 2 2 3 1 W22 997 S 2 1625 P 05/14-01 32 3 1 32 75 W 2 2 3 1 W23 825 S 3 1837 P 05/14-02 32 3 1 31 79 W 3 3 2 1 W23 652 S 5 2050 P 05/14-03 32 3 1 31 80 SW 3 3 2 1 W24 480 S 6 2263 P 05/14-04 32 3 1 30 82 SW 3 3 2 1 W24 528 SW 6 2357 P 05/14-05 32 3 1 29 80 W 2 2 3 1 W24 576 SW 5 2450 P 05/14-06 30 3 1 30 75 W 2 2 3 1 W24 615 SW 3 2072 P 05/14-07 30 3 1 31 66 SW 2 2 3 1 W24 1359 SW 5 7370 P 05/14-08 30 3 1 39 46 SW 2 2 3 1 W24 2103 W 6 12668 P 05/14-09 30 3 1 44 36 S 2 2 3 1 W24 2847 W 7 17966 P 05/14-10 30 3 1 47 33 S 2 2 3 1 W25 4637 W 9 42495 F 05/14-11 30 3 1 50 31 SE 2 2 3 1 W25 6426 W12 67025 G 05/14-12 76 40 18 52 31 SE 3 3 3 4 W26 8215 W13 91555 G 05/14-13 76 40 18 53 29 E 6 6 3 4 W26 8857 W13 93742 G 05/14-14 76 40 18 53 28 E 8 8 3 4 W26 9498 SW12 95929 G 05/14-15 76 40 18 54 28 E 9 14 3 4 W26 10140 SW12 98116 G 05/14-16 76 40 18 54 30 E 8 8 3 4 W25 9529 SW12 95810 G 05/14-17 76 40 18 53 35 E 6 6 2 4 SW25 8918 S13 93504 G 05/14-18 92 40 18 51 42 E 3 3 2 4 SW25 8307 S13 91199 G 05/14-19 92 40 18 49 47 E 3 3 2 4 SW29 7116 S12 73567 G 05/14-20 92 43 20 45 56 E 3 3 2 1 SW32 5926 S10 55935 F 05/14-21 92 43 20 41 64 E 5 5 2 1 SW35 4735 S 9 38303 P 05/14-22 92 43 20 38 68 E 5 5 2 1 SW32 4044 S10 33810 P 05/14-23 92 43 20 36 71 E 5 5 2 1 SW28 3354 SE10 29317 P 05/15-00 92 48 24 34 74 E 5 5 2 1 SW25 2663 SE10 24824 P 05/15-01 92 48 24 32 80 E 3 3 2 1 W30 2311 SE10 20847 P 05/15-02 92 48 24 31 87 SE 2 2 2 1 W36 1960 S 9 16870 P 05/15-03 92 48 24 29 95 SE 2 2 2 1 W39 1608 S 9 12894 P 05/15-04 92 48 24 29 98 SE 3 3 2 1 W37 1530 S 9 12583 P 05/15-05 92 48 24 28 100 S 5 5 2 1 W32 1452 S 9 12272 P 05/15-06 71 27 7 28 99 S 6 6 2 1 W29 1373 SW10 11962 P 05/15-07 71 27 7 31 88 S 6 6 2 1 W28 2137 SW13 25867 P 05/15-08 71 27 7 35 71 SW 5 5 2 1 W28 2901 W15 39772 P 05/15-09 71 27 7 39 57 SW 5 5 2 1 W29 3664 W17 53677 F 05/15-10 71 27 7 44 46 SW 5 5 2 1 W31 5206 W20 95011 G 05/15-11 71 27 7 47 39 SW 5 5 2 1 W33 6748 W22 136344 V 05/15-12 52 27 7 50 35 SW 5 5 2 1 W36 8290 W24 177678 E 05/15-13 52 27 7 51 34 SW 5 5 2 1 W36 8633 W24 178882 E 05/15-14 52 27 7 52 35 SW 5 5 2 1 W36 8975 W23 180086 E 05/15-15 52 27 7 53 36 SW 5 5 2 1 W36 9318 W22 181290 E 05/15-16 52 27 7 53 38 SW 5 5 2 1 W38 8851 W21 164169 E 05/15-17 52 27 7 53 40 SE 3 3 2 1 W40 8384 W20 147049 V 05/15-18 49 24 5 51 44 SE 3 3 2 1 W41 7917 W18 129929 V 05/15-19 49 24 5 49 48 SE 3 3 2 1 W39 6377 W15 94402 G 05/15-20 49 24 5 46 55 E 3 3 2 1 W36 4838 SW12 58874 F 05/15-21 49 24 5 42 61 E 3 3 2 1 W33 3298 SW 8 23347 P 05/15-22 49 24 5 40 66 SE 3 3 2 1 W32 2764 SW 8 19675 P 05/15-23 49 24 5 38 69 S 5 5 2 1 W32 2230 SW 8 16003 P 05/16-00 28 24 5 36 72 S 5 5 2 1 W32 1696 SW 8 12331 P 05/16-01 28 24 5 35 74 SW 5 5 2 1 W32 1463 SW 9 11060 P 05/16-02 28 24 5 33 76 SW 6 6 2 1 W32 1230 SW 9 9788 P 05/16-03 28 24 5 32 77 SW 6 6 2 1 W32 997 SW10 8516 P 05/16-04 28 24 5 32 76 SW 6 6 2 1 W32 932 SW10 8372 P 05/16-05 28 24 5 31 74 SW 7 7 2 1 W33 866 SW12 8229 P 05/16-06 31 4 2 31 72 SW 7 7 2 1 W33 801 W12 8085 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...PUEBLO DISPATCH REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110513.SNYDE.01/BOU