FNUS72 KMFL 131920
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR LOST PINE FIRE...FL-DEP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
320 PM EDT FRI MAY 13 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1501 EDT ON MAY 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
THE SEA BREEZE CONTINUES TO PUSH INLAND THIS AFTERNOON AND IS NEARING
THE BURN SITE. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE CURRENTLY DEVELOPING
ALONG THE BOUNDARY FROM PORT CHARLOTTE SOUTHWARD AND WILL AFFECT
THE AREAS AROUND THE SITE AS THE SEA BREEZE PUSHES INLAND. GUSTY
WINDS, HAIL, AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING MAY BE A CONCERN WITH ANY
STORM. THESE STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH INLAND THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON ONCE THE SEA BREEZE PASSES BY. AROUND SUNSET WINDS WILL
GO NEAR CALM TO LIGHT SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE.
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91.
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH.
LAL.................3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800-5000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH.

TIME (EDT)      3 PM   5 PM   7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM
SKY (%).........50     70     70     50     30     30
WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD AREAS  AREAS
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR SMOKE  SMOKE
TEMP............91     88     85     79     76     73
RH..............45     50     56     69     76     84
20 FT WIND......SW 5   SW 5   SW 5   W 5    SW 3   SW 3
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     5      5
EYE LEVEL WIND..SW 5   SW 5   SW 5   W 5    SW 3   SW 3
EYE LEVEL WIND..10     10     10     10     5      5
LVORI........... 1      1      3      5     5      8

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING. SCATTERED
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. AREAS OF
                    SMOKE THROUGH THE NIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2200...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 2 TO 9 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 2 TO 9 MPH.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE IN
                    THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 7 TO 10 MPH LATE
                    IN THE MORNING.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3400-5000 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 3 TO 12 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 15
                    MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 7 TO 10 MPH LATE
                    IN THE MORNING.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 3 TO 12 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 15
                    MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...TINGLER
REQUESTED BY...STEVE HOUSEKNECHT
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110513.LOSTP.01/MFL