FNUS76 KMFR 130553
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR COLEMAN...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1053 PM PDT THU MAY 12 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 PDT ON MAY 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...GUSTY SOUTH WINDS OVER THE BURN TODAY AND SATURDAY...

.DISCUSSION...SOUTH WINDS INCREASE OVER THE BURN TODAY AS UPPER
LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS OFF THE COAST AND A SURFACE TROUGH DEEPENS
OVER NORTHERN NEVADA. SHOWERS WILL BE DEVELOPING SATURDAY AFTERNOON
AND INCREASING THROUGH SUNDAY AS THE PACIFIC LOW MOVES INLAND.
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE BOTH DAYS. WETTING RAINS
ARE LOOKING LIKELY AT THIS POINT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........22-27 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 4-8 MPH INCREASING TO 12-16 MPH BY
                    NOON...THEN SOUTH 14-18 MPH WITH GUSTS 25-30
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 7000 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 10-20 MPH INCREASING TO 25 TO 35 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-47.
MAX HUMIDITY........60-70 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 12-16 MPH EASING TO 4-8 MPH IN
                    THE EVENING...THEN TO 2-5 MPH OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL THROUGH
                    THE NIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 20 TO 30 MPH EASING TO SOUTHWEST 5-10
                    MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND POSSIBLY A
                    THUNDERSTORM IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 65.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 4-8 MPH SHIFTING SOUTHWEST 8-14
                    MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 10-20 MPH MORNING...SOUTHWEST 15-25
                    MPH AFTERNOON.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.

$$

FORECASTER...STAVISH
REQUESTED BY...CHAD BERGREN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110513.COLEM.01/MFR