FNUS75 KMSO 131420
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR CAYUSE EMB BURN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
820 AM MDT FRI MAY 13 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 MDT ON MAY 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...PLENTY OF MOISTURE IS MAKING IT INTO WESTERN MONTANA
TODAY. THIS MOISTURE COMBINED WITH AN UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE THIS AFTERNOON
SHOULD ALLOW FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS. THE
SHOWERS ACTIVITY SHOULD DECREASE AFTER SUNSET. THE BEST INSTABILITY
ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON IS EXPECTED TO BE SOUTH AND WEST OF YOUR FIRE...
BUT CAN NOT RULE OUT OF A THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPING NEAR BY. AN EASTERLY
PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL BE TIGHTENING ON SATURDAY CAUSING GUSTY EASTERLY
WINDS THROUGH OUT THE DAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    THROUGH THE DAY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-69.
MIN HUMIDITY........26-31 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 2-5 MPH BECOMING EAST 5-10 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 10 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....41-46.
MAX HUMIDITY........74-79 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 7-9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 20 MPH.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-67.
MIN HUMIDITY........28-33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5-10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 25 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...SMITH
REQUESTED BY...JIM WARD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110513.CAYUS.01/MSO