FNUS75 KMSO 131653
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR DRY GULCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
1053 AM MDT FRI MAY 13 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1055 MDT ON MAY 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...PLENTY OF MOISTURE WILL BE MAKING ITS WAY INTO
SOUTHWEST MONTANA TODAY. THIS MOISTURE COMBINED WITH AN UNSTABLE
ATMOSPHERE THIS AFTERNOON SHOULD ALLOW FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF
SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS. THE SHOWERS ACTIVITY SHOULD
DECREASE AFTER SUNSET. THE BEST INSTABILITY ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON
IS EXPECTED TO BE SOUTH AND WEST OF YOUR FIRE... BUT CAN NOT RULE
OUT OF A THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPING NEAR BY. AN EASTERLY PRESSURE
GRADIENT WILL BE TIGHTENING ON SATURDAY CAUSING GUSTY EASTERLY
WINDS THROUGH OUT THE DAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-67.
MIN HUMIDITY........27-32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 2-5 MPH BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5-10
                    MPH GUSTS TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5800 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 10 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
                    CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....37-42.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-85 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5-10 MPH BECOMING VARIABLE 2-6
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 15 MPH.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5-12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 15 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...SMITH
REQUESTED BY...DOUG
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110513.DRYGU.01/MSO