FNUS75 KMSO 131406
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR HAYES CREEK Z B
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
806 AM MDT FRI MAY 13 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 MDT ON MAY 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...PLENTY OF MOISTURE IS MAKING IT INTO WESTERN MONTANA
TODAY. THIS MOISTURE COMBINED WITH AN UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE THIS AFTERNOON
SHOULD ALLOW FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THE
SHOWERS ACTIVITY SHOULD DECREASE AFTER SUNSET. THE BEST INSTABILITY
ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON SHOULD BE WEST OF YOUR FIRE...BUT CAN NOT
RULE OUT ONE DEVELOPING NEAR BY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-72.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........BECOMING EAST 5-10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 5 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-47.
MAX HUMIDITY........77-82 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5-10 MPH BECOMING VARIABLE 2-5 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 10 MPH.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70.
MIN HUMIDITY........28-33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5-12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 15 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...SMITH
REQUESTED BY...JACQUIE PARKS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110513.HAYES.01/MSO