FNUS72 KTAE 140708
FWSTAE

SPOT FORECAST FOR C-52N...EGLIN AFB JACKSON GUARD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
308 AM EDT SAT MAY 14 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1433 CDT ON MAY 13. IF
CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT (850) 942-8835.

.DISCUSSION...WITH SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
BRINGING AMPLE AMOUNTS OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE INTO THE REGION
TODAY...RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL REMAIN ELEVATED THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON HOURS. THEREFORE...OUTSIDE OF THE WILD FIRE AT EGLIN AIR
FORCE BASE (FOR WHICH A SPOT FORECAST WILL BE ISSUED BEFORE
SUNRISE...) NO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE TRI-STATE
AREA TODAY.  DRIER AIR WILL THEN WORK INTO THE REGION FROM THE
NORTHWEST BEHIND THE COLD FRONT ON SUNDAY...BUT AFTER THE EXPECTED
RAINFALL TODAY...ERC VALUES ARE LIKELY TO BE BELOW CRITICAL
THRESHOLDS. HOWEVER...IF THE MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES DROP BELOW
35 PERCENT AND THE 20 FT WIND SPEEDS ARE 15 MPH OR GREATER...A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH MAY NEED TO BE CONSIDERED ON THE AFTERNOON PACKAGE.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.
MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
CHANCE OF RAIN......50 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4900 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 18 MPH.
DISPERSION..........36.


TIME (CDT)      5 AM   7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM
SKY (%).........67     71     71     63     60     60
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....TSTMS  TSTMS  TSTMS  TSTMS  TSTMS  TSTMS
TEMP............68     68     76     82     81     82
RH..............98     97     72     56     55     50
20 FT WIND......SW 3   SW 2   SW 5   SW 8   SW 10  W 10
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     15     15     20     20


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
MAX HUMIDITY........81 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 14 MPH.
CHANCE OF RAIN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1100 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12 TO 17 MPH.
DISPERSION..........12.


TIME (CDT)      5 PM   7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM
SKY (%).........55     50     50     46     41     41
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............82     78     71     68     66     64
RH..............48     53     64     69     71     76
20 FT WIND......W 9    W 7    W 6    NW 5   NW 5   NW 4
20 FT WIND GUST.20     15     15     15     15     10


.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.
MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 7 TO 13 MPH.
CHANCE OF RAIN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5200 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION..........63.


TIME (CDT)      5 AM   7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM
SKY (%).........39     36     36     35     34     34
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............61     62     72     78     79     81
RH..............80     75     53     42     39     37
20 FT WIND......N 5    N 5    NW 5   NW 6   W 7    W 8
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     15     15     15     20

$$

FORECASTER...KEN GOULD
REQUESTED BY...DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110513.C52N_.01/TAE