FNUS75 KBOU 141447 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR SNYDER CREEK...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 847 AM MDT SAT MAY 14 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A WEAK UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BE OVER THE STATE TODAY AND TONIGHT WITH MODERATE WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT. AT LOWER LEVELS...HIGH PRESSURE IS BUILDING OVER NORTHEAST COLORADO AND THE CENTRAL GREAT PLAINS CAUSING LIGHT SOUTHERLY SURFACE WINDS OVER CENTRAL COLORADO. MOISTURE OVER THE STATE LOOKS SUFFICIENT FOR AFTERNOON HEATING TO BE ABLE TO PRODUCE SOME SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS. AS PRECIPITATION CONTINUES INTO THE EVENING IT WILL CHANGE OVER TO SNOW AND THEN DIMINISH OVERNIGHT. SCATTERED AFTERNOON SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN ON SUNDAY AS THE UPPER RIDGE REMAINS OVER COLORADO. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....48-54. MIN HUMIDITY........32-40%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 4-8 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTHEAST 6-10 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN NORTH 6-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2800-3800 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 6200-7200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000. GOOD AFTER 1200. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW LIKELY UNTIL 2400...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW. MIN TEMPERATURE.....24-30. MAX HUMIDITY........90-100%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5800-6600 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. 1400-2400 FT AGL AFTER 2300. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 2000. POOR AFTER 2300. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1200...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....50-56. MIN HUMIDITY........30-40%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 6-11 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2600-3600 FT AGL UNTIL 1200...THEN 6800-7800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1200. GOOD AFTER 1500. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND SNOW SHOWERS AFTER 1200. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 0600. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND SNOW SHOWERS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS AROUND 50. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR SNYDER CREEK. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 05/14-08 4 3 1 35 61 SW 5 5 3 1 W26 2348 W 8 15922 P 05/14-09 36 3 1 39 54 SW 3 3 3 1 W28 2986 W 8 20784 P 05/14-10 36 3 1 42 48 S 5 5 3 1 W29 4192 W10 39961 P 05/14-11 36 3 1 45 44 S 6 6 2 1 W31 5399 W12 59139 F 05/14-12 70 58 35 47 42 SE 8 13 2 3 W32 6605 W14 78316 G 05/14-13 70 58 35 48 42 SE 8 14 2 3 W32 6863 W13 77530 G 05/14-14 70 58 35 49 43 E 8 14 3 3 W32 7120 SW13 76743 G 05/14-15 86 58 35 49 45 NE 8 13 3 3 W32 7378 SW12 75957 G 05/14-16 86 58 35 50 48 N 7 7 3 3 W30 7107 SW12 73766 G 05/14-17 86 58 35 49 52 W 6 6 2 3 W29 6836 SW12 71574 G 05/14-18 92 70 53 48 57 W 5 5 2 1 W29 6565 SW13 69383 G 05/14-19 92 70 53 46 60 SW 5 5 2 1 W31 5763 SW13 61502 G 05/14-20 92 70 53 42 65 SE 5 5 2 1 W36 4961 SW13 53622 F 05/14-21 92 70 53 39 70 E 5 5 2 1 W40 4159 SW13 45741 F 05/14-22 92 70 53 36 72 E 5 5 2 1 W43 3562 SW13 40243 F 05/14-23 92 70 53 35 75 E 5 5 3 1 W45 2964 SW14 34746 P 05/15-00 92 40 18 33 78 E 5 5 3 1 W45 2367 S14 29248 P 05/15-01 92 40 18 31 83 E 3 3 3 1 W44 2089 S14 25559 P 05/15-02 92 40 18 30 90 SE 2 2 3 1 W41 1812 S14 21871 P 05/15-03 92 40 18 29 96 SE 2 2 3 1 W39 1535 SW14 18182 P 05/15-04 92 40 18 28 99 SE 3 3 3 1 W38 1328 SW12 14270 P 05/15-05 92 40 18 28 99 S 5 5 3 1 W37 1122 SW10 10358 P 05/15-06 71 10 2 28 97 SW 6 6 3 1 W36 915 SW 8 6446 P 05/15-07 71 10 2 30 88 SW 6 6 3 1 W33 1594 SW 8 11405 P 05/15-08 71 10 2 35 71 S 6 6 2 1 W30 2273 W 8 16364 P 05/15-09 71 10 2 39 57 S 5 5 2 1 W28 2952 W 8 21322 P 05/15-10 71 10 2 38 58 S 5 5 2 1 W26 2758 SW 7 21824 P 05/15-11 71 10 2 42 47 S 5 5 2 1 W26 4250 W 9 38547 P 05/15-12 52 38 16 46 40 S 6 6 2 2 W28 5742 W12 55269 F 05/15-13 52 38 16 49 37 S 7 7 2 2 W30 6548 W13 71070 G 05/15-14 52 38 16 51 37 S 7 7 2 2 W32 7353 W14 86871 G 05/15-15 52 38 16 52 37 S 8 13 2 2 W36 8159 W15 102673 V 05/15-16 52 38 16 52 39 SE 9 15 2 2 W37 7804 SW14 96831 G 05/15-17 52 38 16 53 41 SE10 16 2 2 W38 7450 SW14 90990 G 05/15-18 57 20 4 52 43 SE10 16 2 1 W38 7096 SW14 85149 G 05/15-19 57 20 4 50 47 SE 9 14 2 1 W36 5946 SW14 72864 G 05/15-20 57 20 4 46 53 SE 8 13 2 1 W32 4796 S15 60579 G 05/15-21 57 20 4 43 60 SE 7 7 2 1 W30 3647 S15 48294 F 05/15-22 57 0 0 40 66 S 7 7 2 1 W32 2982 S15 38645 P 05/15-23 57 0 0 38 70 S 7 7 2 1 SW36 2318 S14 28996 P 05/16-00 28 0 0 36 73 S 7 7 2 1 SW39 1654 S14 19347 P 05/16-01 28 0 0 34 75 S 8 13 2 1 SW41 1500 SW14 18350 P 05/16-02 28 0 0 33 75 SW 9 15 2 1 SW43 1346 SW15 17353 P 05/16-03 28 0 0 33 75 SW10 16 2 1 SW41 1192 SW16 16357 P 05/16-04 28 0 0 32 74 SW10 16 2 1 W38 1086 SW15 14460 P 05/16-05 28 0 0 32 72 SW10 16 3 1 W33 980 SW15 12563 P 05/16-06 31 0 0 31 73 W 9 15 3 1 W29 874 SW14 10667 P 05/16-07 31 0 0 33 64 SW 8 14 3 1 W23 994 SW14 12245 P 05/16-08 31 0 0 38 51 SW 8 13 4 1 W18 1114 SW14 13824 P 05/16-09 31 0 0 43 41 SW 8 13 4 1 W16 1234 SW14 15402 P 05/16-10 31 0 0 48 33 SW 9 15 3 1 SW15 2820 SW16 44100 F 05/16-11 39 10 2 51 28 SW10 16 3 2 SW16 4406 SW17 72798 G 05/16-12 39 10 2 54 25 SW12 18 2 2 SW17 5991 SW20 101495 V 05/16-13 39 10 2 55 24 SW12 20 2 2 SW20 6964 SW18 106292 V 05/16-14 39 10 2 56 23 SW12 20 3 2 SW21 7937 SW16 111088 V 05/16-15 39 10 2 57 23 SW12 18 3 2 SW21 8909 SW15 115884 V 05/16-16 39 10 2 57 23 SW10 17 3 2 SW20 8077 SW15 103625 V 05/16-17 39 10 2 57 24 S10 16 3 2 SW18 7244 SW15 91365 G 05/16-18 35 10 2 55 26 S 9 15 3 2 SW18 6411 SW14 79105 G 05/16-19 35 10 2 53 29 S 9 14 3 2 SW22 4403 SW14 54295 F 05/16-20 35 10 2 49 35 S 8 14 3 2 SW26 2395 S14 29484 P 05/16-21 35 10 2 46 41 S 8 13 3 2 SW31 386 S14 4674 P 05/16-22 35 10 2 43 47 S 8 8 3 2 SW33 336 S13 3776 P 05/16-23 35 10 2 41 52 SW 7 7 4 2 SW35 285 SW12 2877 P 05/17-00 15 10 2 39 56 SW 7 7 4 2 SW36 235 SW 9 1979 P 05/17-01 15 10 2 37 58 SW 7 7 3 2 SW39 228 SW 9 1853 P 05/17-02 15 5 1 36 60 SW 6 6 3 1 SW41 220 SW 9 1726 P 05/17-03 15 5 1 34 61 SW 6 6 2 1 SW44 213 SW 9 1600 P 05/17-04 15 5 1 34 60 SW 5 5 2 1 SW45 217 SW 8 1527 P 05/17-05 15 5 1 34 58 SW 5 5 2 1 SW44 222 SW 8 1455 P 05/17-06 26 0 0 34 55 SW 5 5 3 1 SW43 227 SW 7 1382 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ DANKERS...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...PUEBLO DISPATCH REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110514.SNYDE.01/BOU