FNUS72 KJAX 141023 FWSJAX SPOT FORECAST FOR EDDY TOWER...USDA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 623 AM EDT SAT MAY 14 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0616 EDT ON MAY 14. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A LARGE AND COMPLEX WEATHER SYSTEM WILL REACH THE EASTERN UNITED STATES TODAY. THIS FEATURE WILL RESULT IN SCATTERED...MAINLY LIGHT SHOWERS ACROSS THE FIRE WEATHER REGION THIS MORNING...WITH SHOWERS BECOMING MORE WIDESPREAD THIS AFTERNOON ALONG WITH THUNDERSTORMS. SOME THUNDERSTORMS MAY BECOME STRONG OR SEVERE. RH VALUES WILL STAY WELL ABOVE CRITICAL VALUES. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS POSSIBLY AS HIGH AS 25 MPH AT TIMES. RAIN WILL END LATE TONIGHT BEHIND FRONTAL PASSAGE. A MUCH DRIER AND COOLER AIRMASS WILL RETURN TO THE AREA SUNDAY AND PERSIST THROUGH AT LEAST MID-WEEK. SUNDAY...RH VALUES WILL FALL TO 30 TO 40 PERCENT AWAY FROM THE COAST. AT THIS TIME...CRITICALLY LOW RH VALUES ARE NOT FORECAST. WESTERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 10 TO 15 MPH. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE EARLY IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87. MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 12 TO 15 MPH. LAL.................1 UNTIL 0800...THEN 3 UNTIL 1400...THEN 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......900-1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3200-4900 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 8 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO 17 TO 21 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. DISPERSION INDEX....61. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........62 62 69 69 76 76 WEATHER COV.....AREAS CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....SMOKE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............67 75 82 86 87 87 RH..............97 90 68 56 49 51 20 FT WIND......SW 5 SW 6 SW 9 SW 13 SW 15 SW 13 20 FT WIND GUST. 10 15 20 20 20 MIX HGT (FT)....900 1400 3200 3200 4900 4900 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 6 SW 6 SW 14 SW 14 SW 21 SW 21 LAL.............1 3 3 3 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63. MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. LAL.................4 UNTIL 2000...THEN 3 UNTIL 0200...THEN 1. MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-1400 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 8 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 7 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. DISPERSION INDEX....3. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........71 65 65 52 39 39 WEATHER COV.....LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM NONE NONE TEMP............83 78 72 69 67 64 RH..............55 67 81 88 92 98 20 FT WIND......SW 12 SW 9 SW 8 SW 8 SW 7 SW 6 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....4500 1400 1400 1400 400 400 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 17 SW 12 SW 12 SW 8 SW 7 SW 7 LAL.............4 3 3 3 1 1 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85. MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......900-1300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5900-6200 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........WEST 7 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 18 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. DISPERSION INDEX....84. $$ FORECASTER...ZIBURA REQUESTED BY...PETE MYERS TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110514.EDDYT.01/JAX