FNUS72 KMFL 141002
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR JARHEAD WILDFIRE...BIG CYPRESS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
602 AM EDT SAT MAY 14 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0545 EDT ON MAY 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SOME SMOKE WILL PERSIST THIS MORNING DUE TO
THE ONGOING WILDFIRE. OTHERWISE, THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE DAY...ESPECIALLY BY
AFTERNOON AS A LARGE TROUGH AND COLD FRONT DRAW CLOSER TO THE
REGION. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL FALL TO NEAR 45 PERCENT BY MID
AFTERNOON, AND THEN REBOUND TO NEAR 100 PERCENT TONIGHT. LIGHT
WINDS THIS MORNING WILL INCREASE AND BECOME MAINLY SOUTHWEST
AROUND 10 MPH BY LATE MORNING. SOME GUSTS AROUND 15 MPH ARE
POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON. DISPERSION VALUES WILL BE GENERALLY GOOD
LATER TODAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY TO PARTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.
MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6 TO 9 MPH LATE
                    IN THE MORNING.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1100...THEN 2 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3100-4500 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 2 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 13 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6 TO 9 MPH LATE
                    IN THE MORNING.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 2 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 13 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........30     40     40     40     50     60
WEATHER COV.....AREAS  ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD SCTTRD SCTTRD
WEATHER TYPE....SMOKE  RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............66     68     80     87     90     89
RH..............100    100    66     52     46     46
20 FT WIND......S 2    S 2    S 2    S 5    S 7    S 7
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      5      10     15     15
EYE LEVEL WIND..S 2    S 2    S 2    S 5    S 7    S 7
EYE LEVEL WIND..5      5      5      10     15     15

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2000...THEN 2 UNTIL 2300...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300-4000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-500 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 5 TO 13 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 5 TO 13 MPH.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.
MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 8 TO 13 MPH LATE
                    IN THE MORNING.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1100...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3100-4500 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 5 TO 13 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 18
                    MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 8 TO 13 MPH LATE
                    IN THE MORNING.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 5 TO 13 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 18
                    MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...BETTWY
REQUESTED BY...JILL WAISLEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110514.JARHE.03/MFL