FNUS72 KMLB 140932
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR JAY ANGELS...U.S. FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
532 AM EDT SAT MAY 14 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0510 EDT ON MAY 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...STRONG LIGHTNING STORMS POSSIBLE LATE AFTERNOON-EARLY EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...SURFACE RIDGING REMAINS SUPPRESSED OVER SOUTH FLORIDA.
A WEAK COOL FRONT WILL PUSH INTO THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE BY LATE
AFTERNOON. THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE MAY NOT DEVELOP AT ALL DUE TO
FORECAST STRENGTH OF THE OFFSHORE FLOW. IF IT IS ABLE TO FORM IT WILL
LIKELY BE PINNED ALONG THE COAST. THE WEST COAST SEA BREEZE BOUNDARY
WILL PUSH ACROSS THE PENINSULA RAPIDLY THIS AFTERNOON. ISOLATED TO
WIDELY SCATTERED LIGHTNING STORM ACTIVITY WILL INCREASE IN BOTH
COVERAGE AND INTENSITY AS IT MOVES TOWARD THE EAST COAST. A FEW STRONG
TO SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE TODAY AND EARLY EVENING. STORMS
MAY PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS...SMALL HAIL AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING. IN
ADDITION...NEW WILDFIRES MAY BE IGNITED DUE TO LIGHTNING.

DISPERSION VALUES WILL BE GENERALLY GOOD TO VERY GOOD BOTH TODAY AND
ON SUNDAY DUE TO A TIGHTER PRESSURE GRADIENT.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON. SOME STORMS MAY PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS
                    ...SMALL HAIL AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86.
MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING BECOMING SOUTHWEST 11 TO 16 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2700-4500 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 18 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....54.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....                        SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT
WEATHER TYPE....                        TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............71  72  73  76  79  82  83  84  85  85  85  85
RH..............87  84  84  79  72  67  65  61  59  59  57  57
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD..7   7   8   8   8   13  13  13  14  14  14  15
20 FT WIND GUST.        10  10  10  15  15  15  20  20  20  20

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........DECREASING CLOUDINESS...BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
                    SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MAX HUMIDITY........87 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 0200...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 18 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....12.
LVORI...............5.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 15 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16 TO 23 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....72.

$$
FORECASTER...SEDLOCK
REQUESTED BY...CYNTHIA BRANHAM
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110514.JAYAN.01/MLB